Alho Statistical Demography and Forecasting 9780387225388

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Автор: Alho
Название: Statistical Demography and Forecasting
Перевод названия: Статистические демографии и прогнозирования
ISBN: 9780387225388
Издательство: Springer
Классификация:

Население и демография

Политэкономия

Эпидемиология и медицинская статистика

Вероятность и статистика

ISBN-10: 0387225382
Обложка/Формат: Paperback
Страницы: 437
Вес: 0.61 кг.
Дата издания: 05.08.2005
Серия: Springer Series in Statistics
Язык: English
Иллюстрации: 34 black & white illustrations, 34 black & white l
Размер: 161 x 237 x 25
Читательская аудитория: Postgraduate, research & scholarly
Ссылка на Издательство: Link
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Поставляется из: Германии
Описание: Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S.For statisticians the book provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. For demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, and professionals in related fields, the book presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. To facilitate its classroom use, exercises are included. Over half of the book is readily accessible to undergraduates, but more maturity may be required to benefit fully from the complete text. Knowledge of differential and integral calculus, matrix algebra, basic probability theory, and regression analysis is assumed.
Дополнительное описание: Формат: 235x155
Илюстрации: 34
Круг читателей: Researchers, graduate students
Ключевые слова:
Язык: eng
Оглавление: Introduction.- Sources of Demographic Data.- Sampling Designs and Interference.- Waiting Times and Their Statistical Estimation.- Regression Models for Counts and Survival.- Multistate Models and Cohort-Component Book-keeping.- Approaches to Forecasting Demographic Rates.- Uncertainty in Demographic Forecasts: Concepts, Issues, and Evidence.- Statistical Propagation of Error in Forecasting.- Errors in Census Numbers.- Economic Applications.- Decision Analysis and Small Area Estimates.

Statistical Demography and Forecasting, Alho