Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: The Black Swan ISBN: 0141034599 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141034591 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 933 р. Наличие на складе: Есть (5 шт.) Описание: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great`s lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas Название: Antifragile ISBN: 0141038225 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141038223 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 1103 р. Наличие на складе: Ожидается поступление.
Описание: Tough times don`t last. Tough people do. In this book, the author shows that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world.
Автор: Taleb, Nicholas Nassim Название: The Bed of Procrustes (R/I) ISBN: 014198502X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141985022 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 848 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In a climate when iconoclasm is the smartest intellectual stance - whether against bankers, traders, politicians, the energy industry, or journalists - one of today's most prominent rabble-rousers gives his quick-witted and snappy guide to questioning the status quo. With characteristic panache and brio, Taleb uses aphorisms to condense his rambunctious ideas and style. This is the perfect reference for anyone searching for the right questions to ask.
Описание: The bestselling author of The Black Swan and "the hottest thinker in the world" (Sunday Times) is back with a book challenging many of our long-held beliefs about risk, reward, politics, religion and financeHow can a stubborn minority easily end up ruling? Should you take advice from a salesperson? Is the pope atheist? More than the foundation of risk management, skin in the game is an astonishingly complex worldview that, as Nassim Nicholas Taleb shows in this provocative book, applies to all aspects of our lives and drives history. In his inimitable style, he draws on everything from Antaeus the Giant to Donald Trump to Seneca to the ethics of disagreement to how to buy a used car, to create a jaw-dropping tapestry for understanding this idea in a brand new way. Full of philosophical tales and practical stories, Skin in the Game offers a key rule to live by: do not do to others what you don't want them to do to you, with its practical extension: never take advice from someone who gives advice for a living.
Описание: With fifty percent more material than the hardcover, this expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, and Antifragile. By the author of the modern classic The Black Swan, this collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses his major ideas in ways you least expect. The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. It represents Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side effects--modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs, defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and convincing people that employment is not slavery. Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never recognized. With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness. "Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems."--Financial Times
Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas Название: Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder ISBN: 0812979680 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812979688 Издательство: Random House (USA) Цена: 1368 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Antifragile is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, and The Bed of Procrustes. Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls "antifragile" is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish. In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better. Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call "efficient" not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear. Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb's message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it. Praise for Antifragile "Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining."--The Economist "A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives."--Newsweek "Revelatory . . . Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates."--Chicago Tribune "Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again."--Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal "Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb's insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted."--New Statesman "Antifragility isn't just sound economic and political doctrine. It's also the key to a good life."--Fortune "At once thought-provoking and brilliant."--Los Angeles TimesFrom the Hardcover edition.
Описание: A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we--especially the experts--are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, " On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility"
Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 0812975219 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812975215 Издательство: Random House (USA) Цена: 1368 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. " Taleb is] Wall Street's principal dissident. . . . Fooled By Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-nine theses were to the Catholic Church." -Malcolm Gladwell, The New Yorker Finally in paperback, the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about the markets and the world.This book is about luck: more precisely how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of business-Fooled by Randomnessis an irreverent, iconoclastic, eye-opening, and endlessly entertaining exploration of one of the least understood forces in all of our lives.
Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas Pratt, Sean Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 159659201X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781596592018 Издательство: Hachette Book Group Цена: 2955 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill, the world of trading, this audiobook is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. In an entertaining narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. Taleb uses stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. The audiobook is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: Yogi Berra, the baseball legend; Karl Popper, the philosopher of knowledge; Solon, the ancient world's wisest man; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Ulysses. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life, but who also falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. But the most recognizable character remains unnamed, the lucky fool in the right place at the right time - the embodiment of the "Survival of the Least Fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained through chance. It may be impossible to guard against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after listening to Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: The Bed of Procrustes ISBN: 0241954096 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780241954096 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 738 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Taleb, Nicholas Nassim Название: Incerto Box Set ISBN: 0141985208 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141985206 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 3696 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series is an investigation of luck, uncertainty, probability, opacity, human error, risk, disorder, and decision-making in a world we don't understand, in nonoverlapping and standalone books. All four volumes - Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and the expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes, updated with more than 50 percent new material - are now together in one beautifully designed box set.
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