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Fooled by Randomness, Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Название:  Fooled by Randomness   (Одураченные случайностью)
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Классификация:
Финансы

ISBN: 0141031484
ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141031484
ISBN: 0-14-103148-4
ISBN-13(EAN): 978-0-14-103148-4
Обложка/Формат: Paperback
Страницы: 368
Вес: 0.272 кг.
Дата издания: 07.07.2011
Серия: Economics,Mathematics
Размер: 198 x 129 x 21
Читательская аудитория: General (us: trade)
Подзаголовок: The hidden role of chance in life and in the markets
Рейтинг:
Поставляется из: Англии
Описание: Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? This book aims to change the way you think about business and the world. It also seeks to shatter the illusions of people around the world by teaching them how to recognize randomness.

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  Старое издание
Fooled by Randomness

Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Название: Fooled by Randomness
ISBN: 014103274X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141032740
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Цена: 523 р.
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.

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The Black Swan

Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Название: The Black Swan
ISBN: 0141034599 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141034591
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Рейтинг:
Цена: 747 р.
Наличие на складе: Ожидается поступление.

Описание: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great`s lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Antifragile

Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Название: Antifragile
ISBN: 0141038225 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141038223
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Рейтинг:
Цена: 672 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: Tough times don`t last. Tough people do. In this book, the author shows that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world.

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Antifragility

Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nichol
Название: Antifragility
ISBN: 1846141575 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781846141577
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Цена: 1271 р.
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.

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Antifragile

Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Название: Antifragile
ISBN: 1846141567 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781846141560
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Цена: 1870 р.
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.

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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets

Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Название: Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
ISBN: 1400067936 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781400067930
Издательство: Random House (USA)
Цена: 1612 р.
Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка.

Описание: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes.
Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.
This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.
PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS
Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

" Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church."
-Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink
"The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade."
-Maggie Mahar, author of Bull A History of the Boom, 1982--1999
"Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you."
-Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving
"Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould."
-Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World's Best Companies Simulate to Innovate
"We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded."
-Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance
"Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights and] extreme brilliance."
-National Review

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The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Название: The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
ISBN: 081297381X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812973815
Издательство: Random House (USA)
Рейтинг:
Цена: 1095 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть (1 шт.)
Описание:
A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we--especially the experts--are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, " On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.


*2nd Edition, With a new essay: "On Robustness and Fragility"

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Incerto Box Set

Автор: Taleb, Nicholas Nassim
Название: Incerto Box Set
ISBN: 0141985208 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141985206
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Рейтинг:
Цена: 2992 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

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The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms

Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Название: The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms
ISBN: 0812982401 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812982404
Издательство: Random House (USA)
Цена: 974 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: With fifty percent more material than the hardcover, this expanded edition of The Bed of Procrustes is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, and Antifragile.

By the author of the modern classic The Black Swan, this collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses his major ideas in ways you least expect.

The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. It represents Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side effects--modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs, defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and convincing people that employment is not slavery.

Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never recognized.

With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.

"Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems."--Financial Times

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The Bed of Procrustes

Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas Pratt, Sean
Название: The Bed of Procrustes
ISBN: 1596597615 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781596597617
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
Цена: 1314 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: The Bed of Procrustes takes its title from Greek mythology: the story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by either stretching them or cutting their limbs. It represents Nassim Nicholas Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side effects-modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs, defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and convincing people that employment is not slavery.

Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never recognized.

With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.

"The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ

"The hottest thinker in the world." -Bryan Appleyard, The Sunday Times (London)

"Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times

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The Bed of Procrustes (R/I)

Автор: Taleb, Nicholas Nassim
Название: The Bed of Procrustes (R/I)
ISBN: 014198502X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141985022
Издательство: Penguin Books Ltd
Рейтинг:
Цена: 747 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

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The Black Swan

Автор: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Название: The Black Swan
ISBN: 1400063515 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781400063512
Издательство: Random House (USA)
Цена: 1825 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible."
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, "The Black Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. "The Black Swan" is a landmark book--itself a black swan.
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The most prophetic voice of all.""--GQ"
" "
Praise for "The Black Swan"
" A book] that altered modern thinking."--"The Times" (London)
"A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of "Wired, "author of" The Long Tail"
" "
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, "Los Angeles Times"
" "
""The Black Swan" changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate
" Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias and] narrative fallacy.""--The Wall Street Journal"
" "
"Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--"Financial Times"
" "
"Engaging . . . "The Black Swan" has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.""--The New York Times Book Review"

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Antifragility: How to Live in a World We Don`t Understand

Автор: Taleb Nassim Nicholas
Название: Antifragility: How to Live in a World We Don`t Understand
ISBN: 0739370693 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780739370698
Издательство: Random House (USA)
Цена: 2738 р.
Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.

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