Описание: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics.
Описание: How has Latin America coped with external shocks and economic vulnerabilities in the aftermath of the global financial crisis? Managing Economic Volatility in Latin America looks at how the region has fared in recent years in an environment of uncertainty. It presents a collection of novel contributions on capital flows, terms of trade, and macroeconomic policy in Latin America. The rigorous expert analysis offers an up-to-date guide to many of the key economic policy questions in the region. Chapters focus on important analytical issues, including assessing reserves adequacy and current account levels. The roles of macroeconomic policies and exchange rates regimes in coping with large capital inflows are examined, as well as the effectiveness of both monetary policy and fiscal policy in dealing with economic challenges in the region.
Автор: Harvey Название: Dynamic Models for Volatility and Heavy Tails ISBN: 1107034728 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781107034723 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 8283 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The volatility of financial returns changes over time and, for the last thirty years, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have provided the principal means of analyzing, modeling and monitoring such changes. Taking into account that financial returns typically exhibit heavy tails – that is, extreme values can occur from time to time – Andrew Harvey's new book shows how a small but radical change in the way GARCH models are formulated leads to a resolution of many of the theoretical problems inherent in the statistical theory. The approach can also be applied to other aspects of volatility. The more general class of Dynamic Conditional Score models extends to robust modeling of outliers in the levels of time series and to the treatment of time-varying relationships. The statistical theory draws on basic principles of maximum likelihood estimation and, by doing so, leads to an elegant and unified treatment of nonlinear time-series modeling.
Автор: Gatheral, Jim Название: Volatility surface ISBN: 0471792519 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780471792512 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 6353 р. Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка.
Описание: Offers an account of the peculiarities of the implied volatility surface, its consequences for pricing and hedging, and the theories that struggle to explain it. This book reveals the secrets of dealing with the most important but most elusive of financial quantities, volatility.
Автор: Aizenman Название: Managing Economic Volatility and Crises ISBN: 0521168597 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521168595 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 4140 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Economic volatility has come into its own after being treated for decades as a secondary phenomenon in the business cycle literature. This evolution has been driven by the recognition that non-linearities, long buried by the economist's penchant for linearity, magnify the negative effects of volatility on long-run growth and inequality, especially in poor countries. This 2006 collection organizes empirical and policy results for economists and development policy practitioners into four parts: basic features, including the impact of volatility on growth and poverty; commodity price volatility; the financial sector's dual role as an absorber and amplifier of shocks; and the management and prevention of macroeconomic crises. The latter section includes a cross-country study, case studies on Argentina and Russia, and lessons from the debt default episodes of the 1980s and 1990s.
Автор: Edited by Joshua Aizenman Название: Managing Economic Volatility and Crises ISBN: 0521855241 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521855242 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 11849 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Economic volatility has come into its own after being treated for decades as a secondary phenomenon in the business cycle literature. This evolution has been driven by the recognition that non-linearities, long buried by the economist’s penchant for linearity, magnify the negative effects of volatility on long-run growth and inequality, especially in poor countries. This 2006 collection organizes empirical and policy results for economists and development policy practitioners into four parts: basic features, including the impact of volatility on growth and poverty; commodity price volatility; the financial sector’s dual role as an absorber and amplifier of shocks; and the management and prevention of macroeconomic crises. The latter section includes a cross-country study, case studies on Argentina and Russia, and lessons from the debt default episodes of the 1980s and 1990s.
Описание: In this book, authors Rachev, Kim, Bianchi, and Fabozzi present readers with the notions of risk and their corresponding performance measures. They cover a wide range of applications to financial risk management and share with readers how to implement the applications they bring forth using professional software. Further, they introduce statistical and econometric frameworks for readers to use in modeling asset returns for large financial portfolios, techniques absolutely necessary in todays volatile markets. In addition to theory and application, the authors give readers a host of new approaches to portfolio optimization and trading strategies. They provide methods for computational finance; methods that are extremely useful to financial risk analysts, portfolio managers, and finance professionals. The authors fully cover Stochastic Processes, Continuous Market Models, Discrete Market Models with Volatility Clustering, Option Pricing in Exponential Tempered Stable Models, GARCH Models, Parameter Estimations, and much more.
Автор: Fengler Matthias R. Название: Semiparametric Modeling of Implied Volatility ISBN: 3540262342 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540262343 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 6269 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The implied volatility surface is a key financial variable for the pricing and the risk management of plain vanilla and exotic options portfolios alike. Consequently, statistical models of the implied volatility surface are of immediate importance in practice: they may appear as estimates of the current surface or as fully specified dynamic models describing its propagation through space and time.This book fills a gap in the financial literature by bringing together both recent advances in the theory of implied volatility and refined semiparametric estimation strategies and dimension reduction methods for functional surfaces: the first part of the book is devoted to smile-consistent pricing appoaches. The theory of implied and local volatility is presented concisely, and vital smile-consistent modeling approaches such as implied trees, mixture diffusion, or stochastic implied volatility models are discussed in detail. The second part of the book familiarizes the reader with estimation techniques that are natural candidates to meet the challenges in implied volatility modeling, such as the rich functional structure of observed implied volatility surfaces and the necessity for dimension reduction: non- and semiparametric smoothing techniques.The book introduces Nadaraya-Watson, local polynomial and least squares kernel smoothing, and dimension reduction methods such as common principle components, functional principle components models and dynamic semiparametric factor models. Throughout, most methods are illustrated with empirical investigations, simulations and pictures.
Автор: Mujeri & Mahmud Название: Adjusting To Global Economic Volatility ISBN: 9332701644 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789332701649 Издательство: Eurospan Рейтинг: Цена: 9836 р. Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.
Описание: In South Asia, the impact of global economic vulnerability has been felt mainly through finance, trade and investment channels affecting the performance of the real economy. The slowdown in growth of exports and remittances, and other associated changes in the domestic economies have resulted in lower growth. This has also had social implications through changes in household income, intra-household decisions and resource allocations creating adverse impact on food security, nutrition, education, health care as well as poverty dynamics and its intergenerational transmission.Adjusting to Global Economic Volatility: The Case of South Asia attempts to answer three questions: a) How has South Asia been coping with the impacts of global economic vulnerability? b) What has determined the differential impact of various sectors to global economic and financial crisis? c) What demand- and supply-side bottlenecks need to be eased to meet the challenges of global vulnerability and how regional cooperation can help the countries going forward?Meeting the global volatility challenges calls for a reform agenda that cuts across both domestic economies as well as the framework for regional cooperation. It must also be recognised that regional cooperation is not easy, and implementation of required actions is frequently weak in South Asian countries having diverse backgrounds. Furthermore, effective regional cooperation and integration takes time to develop and requires incremental, gradual and flexible implementation with visible payoffs. Successful cooperation requires leadership. Development of regional resources can be one of the important areas to make progress, which creates opportunities for win-win outcomes and equitable sharing of benefits among all partners.
Описание: The deregulation of domestic financial markets and the capital account in developing countries has frequently been associated with financial turmoil and
macro volatility. The book analyzes the experience of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, China, Nigeria, Russia, South Africa, and Thailand, and draws implications for building
development-friendly domestic and international financial architectures. The recommendations are made in light of the key challenge: to design and implement policies able to control
macro volatility while building the rules of the financial game that will ultimately contribute to mitigating the sources of aggregate risk.
Описание: The majority of the time, most markets move sideways, with no discernible long-term up or down trend. The key to making money in these kinds of markets is to sell when the market is near the top of its range and buy when it`s near the bottom of its range. This book provides traders with different strategies to capitalize on market fluctuations.
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