Автор: Gilliland Michael, Sglavo Udo, Tashman Len Название: Business Forecasting: Practical Issues and Solutions for Forecasters ISBN: 111922456X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781119224563 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 6018.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: A comprehensive collection of the field`s most provocative, influential new work Business Forecasting compiles some of the field`s important and influential literature into a single, comprehensive reference for forecast modeling and process improvement.
Автор: Franses Название: Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting ISBN: 0521520916 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521520911 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 7445.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated second edition textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps in creating effective forecasting models. Includes all new theoretical and practical exercises geared at guiding students through the steps of creating forecasting models on their own.
Автор: Pindyck Название: Econometric Models & Economic Forecasts ISBN: 0071158367 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780071158367 Издательство: McGraw-Hill Рейтинг: Цена: 9436.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: First course in Econometrics in Economics Departments at better schools, also Economic/Business Forecasting. Slightly higher level and more comprehensive than Gujarati Basic Econometrics (M-H, 1996) . P-R covers more time series and forecasting. P-R coverage is a notch below Johnston-DiNardo (M-H, 97) and requires no matrix algebra.
Описание: A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts.
Автор: Arnaud Clement-Grandcourt Название: Hazardous Forecasts and Crisis Scenario Generator ISBN: 1785480286 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781785480287 Издательство: Elsevier Science Рейтинг: Цена: 13980.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
This book presents a crisis scenario generator with black swans, black butterflies and worst case scenarios. It is the most useful scenario generator that can be used to manage assets in a crisis-prone period, offering more reliable values for Value at Risk (VaR), Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) and Tail Value at Risk (TVaR).
Hazardous Forecasts and Crisis Scenario Generator questions how to manage assets when crisis probability increases, enabling you to adopt a process for using generators in order to be well prepared for handling crises.
Evaluates risk-oriented philosophy, forecast risk-oriented philosophy and its processes
Features scenario-building processes, with an emphasis on main and extreme scenarios
Discusses asset management processes using a generator methodology to avoid risk understatement and increase optimization.
Описание: Financial econometrics is one of the greatest on-going success stories of recent decades, as it has become one of the most active areas of research in econometrics. It describes the methods of evaluating these more complex forecasts which provide a fuller description of the range of possible future outcomes.
Автор: Diebold Francis Название: Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting? ISBN: 0691146802 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691146805 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 7128.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Offers an understanding of the dynamic evolution of the yield curve is critical to many financial tasks, including pricing financial assets and their derivatives, managing financial risk, allocating portfolios, structuring fiscal debt, and valuing capital goods. This title contains essential tools for academics, central banks, and more.
Описание: This book explores widely used seasonaladjustment methods and recent developments in real time trend-cycle estimation.It discusses in detail the properties and limitations of X12ARIMA, TRAMO-SEATSand STAMP - the main seasonal adjustment methods used by statistical agencies. Several real-world cases illustrate eachmethod and real data examples can be followed throughout the text. Thetrend-cycle estimation is presented using nonparametric techniques based onmoving averages, linear filters and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, takingrecent advances into account. The book provides a systematical treatment ofresults that to date have been scattered throughout the literature.Seasonal adjustment and real timetrend-cycle prediction play an essential part at all levels of activity inmodern economies. They are used by governments to counteract cyclicalrecessions, by central banks to control inflation, by decision makers forbetter modeling and planning and by hospitals, manufacturers, builders,transportation, and consumers in general to decide on appropriate action.This book appeals to practitioners ingovernment institutions, finance and business, macroeconomists, and other professionalswho use economic data as well as academic researchers in time series analysis,seasonal adjustment methods, filtering and signal extraction. It is also usefulfor graduate and final-year undergraduate courses in econometrics and timeseries with a good understanding of linear regression and matrix algebra, aswell as ARIMA modelling.
Автор: Harvey, Andrew C. Название: Forecasting, structural time series models and the kalman filter ISBN: 0521405734 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521405737 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 6018.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book is concerned with modelling economic and social time series and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series pose. It is unique in its use of Kalman filtering with econometric and time series modelling.
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