Decision Analysis for Management Judgement, Goodwin Paul
Автор: Goodwin, Paul Wright, George Название: Decision analysis for management judgment ISBN: 0470714395 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470714393 Издательство: Wiley Цена: 4811 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ. Описание: In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. This work covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them.
Автор: Goodwin, Paul Wright, George Название: Decision analysis for management judgment ISBN: 0470714395 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470714393 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 4811 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis has a major role to play in helping decision-makers to gain insights into the problems they face. This work covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them.
Описание: The authors offer an integrated analysis of the wave of management reforms which have swept through so many countries since the 1980s. The reform trajectories of ten countries are compared, and key differences of approach discussed.
Описание: "Decision Management" gives managers the tools and information they need to step above the individual decision and capture the big picture, to see how the individual decision affects the entire organization and perhaps to recognize what might be missing. The information in this book is based on the literature on decision-making in fields ranging from psychology, economics and statistics to anthropology, philosophy, engineering and medicine, as well as Frank Yates's 30 years of experience.
Описание: Statistical Analysis of Management Data is especially designed to provide doctoral students with a theoretical knowledge of the basic concepts underlying the most important multivariate techniques and with an overview of actual applications in various fields. The content herein addresses both the underlying mathematics and problems of application. As such, a reasonable level of competence in both statistics and mathematics is needed. This book is not intended as a first introduction to statistics and statistical analysis. Instead it assumes that the student is familiar with basic statistical techniques. The techniques are presented in a fundamental way but in a format accessible to students in a doctoral program, to practicing academicians, and to data analysts.
Описание: Designing and Evaluating E-Managemnet Decision Tools presents the most relevant concepts for designing intelligent decision tools in an Internet-based multimedia environment and assessing the tools using concepts of statistical design of experiments. The design principle is based on the visual interactive decision modeling (VIDEMO) paradigm. Several case studies are discussed in detail, referring to online preference elicitation, collaborative decision making, negotiation and conflict resolution, and marketing decision optimization. (See www.beroggi.net for more info on the book and Visual Interactive Decision Modeling)
Автор: Burgman Название: Trusting Judgements ISBN: 1107531020 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781107531024 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 3148 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.
Описание: In an increasingly complex world, decision analysis plays a key role in helping managers gain a greater understanding of the situations they face. This updated classic offers unrivalled coverage of the problems associated with unaided managerial decision making and the&60;methods designed to overcome them, all presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner. The Third Edition is extensively updated and reflects new developments such as 'fast and frugal heuristics' and "structured risk management". A new website will offer links, additional exercises and case studies, and downloadable Excel spreadsheets.
Описание: Emphasizes building the most appropriate model possible from the available data. Major focus is on analysis and communication of results to management. Teaches readers how to conduct a management science study, analyze different situations, break down the steps of problem-solving, write a business report, and effectively communicate study results to management. A supporting CD-ROM is packaged with every book to include three complete additional chapters, additional cases and problems for every chapter, coverage of key algorithms and derivations, a review of statistics, the complete WINQSB package developed by Yih-Long Chang, and Excel files for every chapter. Computer Integrated Approach: Use of Excel, WinQSB, and LINDO for windows integrated throughout text for use in solving models.
Описание: Human experience has shown how great cities, nations, and empires have either collapsed or retired from their predominant stature when natural resources are depleted to an extent that exceeds the ability of the environment to restore or replenish their supply. This book explores the challenges facing coastal areas during the next few decades and the difficult decisions needed to prevent a repeat of the past. Establishing, maintaining or enhancing a sense of environmental security in different coastal regions and improving the management of critical infrastructure will require (i) matching human demands with available environmental resources; (ii) recognition of environmental security threats and infrastructure vulnerabilities; and, (iii) identification of the range of available options for preventing and/or minimizing natural disasters, technological failures, and/or terror actions. This book emphasizes beliefs that the convergence of seemingly disparate viewpoints and often uncertain and limited information is possible only by using one or more available risk assessment methodologies and decision-making tools such as multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA).
Описание: This series presents selected research papers dealing with important methodological and theoretical issues in the policy sciences, with research in policy-related disciplines, and applied research on issues in public policy analysis and public management.