Handbook of Warning Intelligence 9781442248137

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Автор: Grabo Cynthia
Название: Handbook of Warning Intelligence
ISBN: 9781442248137
Издательство: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Классификация:

Международные отношения

Политические свободы и политический котроль

ISBN-10: 1442248130
Обложка/Формат: Paperback
Страницы: 454
Вес: 0.63 кг.
Дата издания: 09.09.2015
Серия: Security and professional intelligence education series
Язык: English
Издание: Complete and declas
Иллюстрации: 1 black & white illustrations, 2 tables
Размер: 229 x 152 x 36
Читательская аудитория: Professional & vocational
Рейтинг:
Поставляется из: Англии
Описание: This new and final edition is a follow-up to the authors first book, Anticipating Surprise (University Press of America, 2002) and the Handbook of Warning Intelligence (Scarecrow Press, 2010). The first book was an abridged version of Grabos 1972 manuscript, of which only 200 pages were allowed to be published by the government. The second book was published after it was agreed that the last 10 chapters would remain classified. These final 10 chapters have recently been released by the government and complete the manuscript as it was originally intended to be published by the author in 1972. The Handbook of Warning Intelligence was written during the cold war and was classified for 40 years. Originally written as a manual for training intelligence analysts, it explains the fundamentals of intelligence analysis and forecasting, discusses military analysis, as well as the difficulties in understanding political, civil, and economic analysis and assessing what it means for analysts to have warning judgment. Much of what Grabo wrote in her book seems to appear in many of the numerous commission reports that emerged after the 9/11 attacks. However, her book was written in response to the surprise attack of the Soviet Unions invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968. According to the author, that event was no surprise. And while analysts have to take some of the blame for their failure to strenuously present their case that the threat was real and imminent, what occurred was a failure by policymakers to listen to the warning intelligence reports that were written at the time. In these last chapters, Grabo discusses scenarios where the United States will need to take action, especially describing Soviet indicators of such action. She also talks on how to influence policymakers to take, or not take, action based on intelligence. After the Soviet Union fell, the government was hesitant to release this information-especially considering whats going on with Putin today.

Handbook of Warning Intelligence, Grabo Cynthia