Описание: The 2012 presidential elections represented the second consecutive defeat for the Republican Party, and the fourth defeat out of the last six presidential elections. In recent years both Republican and Democratic strategists and pundits have spoken of an emerging Democratic Party "lock" on the Electoral College and speculated that even in the wake of Republican victories in Congress, presidential candidates are still at a major disadvantage due to the party's increasing demographic and geographic isolation. This prediction flies in the face of population shifts of the last several decades from Democratic regions (Upper-Midwest and Northeast) to Republican-leaning regions (South and Southwest); at the same time, it seems to follow from demographic changes favoring an increase in the minority vote. In fact, there is an initiative to convert Texas to a Democratic state by mobilizing Latino and Black voters. In Altered States, Thomas Holbrook looks at electoral change in presidential elections since 1972, documenting the magnitude, direction, and consequences of changes in party support in the states. He finds that the Democrats do not have a "lock" on the Electoral College, but that their position has improved dramatically over the past forty years in a number of formerly competitive or Republican-leaning states in the Northeast, Southeast, and Southwest. Republican candidates have made many fewer gains, mostly improving their position in "misplaced," formerly Democratic states, such as Kentucky and West Virginia, or in already deeply Republican states in the Plains and Mountain West. Holbrook looks at the ways that changes in the racial and ethnic composition of the state electorates, migratory patterns from large Democratic states to Republican-leaning states, and changes in the public's level of education and occupational status, state party identification, and ideology drive these changes. Additionally, he explores the extent to which the Republican "problem" stems from the geographic concentration of party support. While Democratic concentration in major metropolitan areas tends to put them at a disadvantage in House races, as Republican votes increasingly are concentrated in fewer states where they win by wider margins, they may be "wasting" more Electoral College votes than Democrats, whose supporters are more efficiently distributed.
Автор: Keyfitz Название: Applied Mathematical Demography ISBN: 0387225374 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780387225371 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 15372.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Focuses on applications of demographic models, extending to matrix models for stage-classified populations. This book introduces the life table to describe age-specific mortality, and develops theory for stable populations and the rate of population increase. It also introduces reproductive value and the stable equivalent population.
Описание: This book presents papers from the national conference on Applied Demography held in January 2010. It reflects the rapid change in contemporary applied demography and includes papers that deal with applied demography in Australia, Canada, Estonia, and Mexico.
Автор: Hoque Название: Applied Demography and Public Health in the 21st Century ISBN: 3319436864 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319436869 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 19564.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book demonstrates different statistical techniques for analyzing health-related data as well as providing new techniques for forecasting and/or projecting the incidence of diseases/disorders. It presents information on a variety of health related issues from the developed and developing world. Featuring cutting edge research from distinguished applied demographers and public health specialists, the book bridges the gap between theory and research. Each chapter provides methods and materials that can be used to conduct further research aimed at promoting public health issues. This book is intended for public health professionals, health policy makers, social epidemiologists, administrators, researchers, and students in the fields of applied demography and public health who are interested in exploring the potential of ground-breaking research or who want to further develop their existing research techniques. It complements another volume in the Applied Demography Series, Applied Demography and Public Health (Springer, 2013), which describes how applied demographic techniques can be used to help address public health issues.
Автор: Hannan, Michael T. Название: Dynamics of Organizational Populations ISBN: 0195071913 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780195071917 Издательство: Oxford Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 21714.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This study aims to broaden the general understanding of change in organizational populations by examining the dynamics of numbers of organizations in populations. The authors examine labour unions, newspapers, publishing, brewing firms, life insurance companies and banks.
Автор: Tyldum Название: Applying Respondent Driven Sampling to Migrant Populations ISBN: 1137363606 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781137363602 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 8384.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book gives a thorough introduction to the theoretical and practical aspects of planning, conducting and analysing data from Respondent Driven Sampling surveys, drawing on the experiences of experts in the field as well as pioneers that have applied Respondent Driven Sampling methodology to migrant populations.
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