Автор: Herbert I. Weisberg Название: Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty ISBN: 0470890444 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470890448 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 4586.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology.
Автор: Lindley Название: Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition ISBN: 1118650123 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781118650127 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 15674.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations, Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty, its truths, and its falsehoods.
Описание: Optimization problems whose constraints involve partial differential equations (PDEs) are relevant in many areas of technical, industrial, and economic app- cations. At the same time, they pose challenging mathematical research problems in numerical analysis and optimization. The present text is among the ?rst in the research literature addressing stochastic uncertainty in the context of PDE constrained optimization. The focus is on shape optimization for elastic bodies under stochastic loading. Analogies to ?nite dim- sional two-stage stochastic programming drive the treatment, with shapes taking the role of nonanticipative decisions.The main results concern level set-based s- chastic shape optimization with gradient methods involving shape and topological derivatives. The special structure of the elasticity PDE enables the numerical - lution of stochastic shape optimization problems with an arbitrary number of s- narios without increasing the computational effort signi?cantly. Both risk neutral and risk averse models are investigated. This monograph is based on a doctoral dissertation prepared during 2004-2008 at the Chair of Discrete Mathematics and Optimization in the Department of Ma- ematics of the University of Duisburg-Essen. The work was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG) within the Priority Program "Optimi- tion with Partial Differential Equations." Rudiger Schultz Acknowledgments I owe a great deal to my supervisors, colleagues, and friends who have always supported, encouraged, andenlightenedmethroughtheirownresearch, comments, and questions.
Автор: Gilboa Название: Theory of Decision under Uncertainty ISBN: 052151732X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521517324 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 13622.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book describes classical axiomatic theories of decision under uncertainty, critiques thereof, and alternative theories. It discusses the meaning of probability, focusing on the behavioral definition of subjective probability by Savage`s theorem. It presents non-additive and multiple prior theories, as well as the case-based approach to the formation of beliefs.
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