In this provocative book, Paul Glimcher argues that economic theory may provide an alternative to the classical Cartesian model of the brain and behavior. Glimcher argues that Cartesian dualism operates from the false premise that the reflex is able to describe behavior in the real world that animals inhabit. A mathematically rich cognitive theory, he claims, could solve the most difficult problems that any environment could present, eliminating the need for dualism by eliminating the need for a reflex theory. Such a mathematically rigorous description of the neural processes that connect sensation and action, he explains, will have its roots in microeconomic theory. Economic theory allows physiologists to define both the optimal course of action that an animal might select and a mathematical route by which that optimal solution can be derived. Glimcher outlines what an economics-based cognitive model might look like and how one would begin to test it empirically. Along the way, he presents a fascinating history of neuroscience. He also discusses related questions about determinism, free will, and the stochastic nature of complex behavior.
This book examinessustainable wealth formation and dynamic decision-making. The global economyexperienced a veritable meltdown of asset markets in the years 2007-9, wheremany funds were overexposed to risky returns and suffered considerable losses. On the other hand, the long-term upswing inthe stock market since 2010 has led to asset price booms and some new, but also uneven, wealth formation. In this book a broader set ofconstraints and guidelines for asset management and wealth accumulation is developed. The authorsinvestigate how wealth formation and the proper management of financial fundscan help to adequately buffer income risk and obtain sufficient risk-freeincome at a later stage of life, while alsobeing socially and environmentally sustainable.The book explores behavioral and institutional rules fordecision-making that reflect such constraints and guidelines, withoutnecessarily being optimal in the narrow sense. The authors explain the need forsuch a dynamic decision-making and dynamic re-balancing of portfolios, by putting forward dynamic programming as anapproach to dynamic decision-making that can allow sustainable wealthaccumulation and dynamic asset allocation to be successfully integrated.This book provides a clear andcomprehensive treatment of asset accumulation and dynamic portfolio models withan emphasis on long term and sustainable wealth formation. An important concernin public debate is the sustainability of our economy and this book employscutting edge quantitative techniques and models to highlight important factsthat cannot be disputed under any reasonable assumptions. It has the potentialto become a standard reference for both academic researchers and quantitativelytrained practitioners.Eckhard Platen, Professor of Quantitative Finance, University of Technology Sydney, AustraliaThis book should be read by both academics and practitionersalike. The former will find intellectually rigorous discussions andinnovative solutions. The latter may find a few of the concepts a bitchallenging. Yet, theory and technology are there to help simplify the work ofthose who worry about what time it is rather than how to make a watch--- butthey do need a watch.Jean Brunel, Founder of BrunelAssociates and Editor of The Journalof Wealth Management
Автор: Marco A. C. Pacheco; Marley M. B. R. Vellasco Название: Intelligent Systems in Oil Field Development under Uncertainty ISBN: 3642100961 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642100963 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 23508.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The decision to invest in oil field development is an extremely complex problem. This book is a result of about four years of research in this area. It presents applications of intelligent decision support systems to oil field development under uncertainty.
Автор: Mohammed Abdellaoui; John D. Hey Название: Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 3642088007 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642088001 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 20962.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Uncertainty and Information Modeling.- Revealed Ambiguity and Its Consequences: Updating.- Dynamic Decision Making When Risk Perception Depends on Past Experience.- Representation of Conditional Preferences Under Uncertainty.- Subjective Information in Decision Making and Communication.- Risk Modeling.- Sensitivity Analysis in Decision Making: A Consistent Approach.- Alternation Bias and the Parameterization of Cumulative Prospect Theory.- Proposing a Normative Basis for the S-Shaped Value Function.- Experimental Individual Decision Making.- Individual Choice from a Convex Lottery Set: Experimental Evidence.- Temptations and Dynamic Consistency.- Monty Hall's Three Doors for Dummies.- Overconfidence in Predictions as an Effect of Desirability Bias.- Experimental Interactive Decision Making.- Granny Versus Game Theorist: Ambiguity in Experimental Games.- Guessing Games and People Behaviours: What Can We Learn?.- The Determinants of Individual Behaviour in Network Formation: Some Experimental Evidence.
Автор: J. Geweke Название: Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 9401052611 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789401052610 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 27950.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc.
Автор: Hannu Nurmi Название: Voting Procedures under Uncertainty ISBN: 3642535003 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642535000 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 13974.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In democratic systems the electoral institutions provide ways of peaceful adjustment to changes in popular opinions. This book is about uncertainty as it pertains to electoral institutions. We shall also discuss how uncertainty pertains to electoral outcomes.
Описание: Both economists and popular writers have once more run away with some fragments of reality they happened to grasp. Joseph A. Schumpeter, Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy, 1942. 1. Rational Behaviour and Economics Never in the history of mankind has there been such unlimited belief intheabilitiesofthehumanmindasintheAgeofReasoninthe?rsthalf of the eighteenth century. The likes of Mozart, Goethe, and Rousseau ensured a new era of optimism and creativity in both the arts and the sciences. In mathematics, the theory of probability was re?ned and its laws were believed to be good descriptions of human reasoning and 1 decision making. The French Revolution was the logical conclusion of theAgeofReasonandEnlightenment. Italsobroughtaboutitspolitical and social downfall, ending in an age of terror; a victim of its own success. In the early nineteenth century, however, most ?elds of science abandoned many ideas from the era of Enlightenment. Nevertheless, in psychology and economics the probabilistic approach to describing a human being as a fully rational homo economicus remained popular as ever. 1 In Rousseau (1762, p. 97), for example, one ?nds: "Calculateurs, c'est maintenant votre a?aire; comptez, mesurez, comparez". 1 2 INVESTMENT, COALITION SPILLOVERS, AND EVOLUTION Most of contemporary economics still uses the axiom of rational e- nomic agents, where agents are believed to maximise expected utility. Expectations are often assumed to be based on objective probabilities. Expected utility with objective probabilities has been axiomatised by Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1944).
Автор: Svetlana Boyarchenko; Sergei Levendorskii Название: Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty ISBN: 3642092934 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642092930 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 25853.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems.
Автор: George M. von Furstenberg Название: Acting under Uncertainty ISBN: 9048157854 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789048157853 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 41787.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This volume demonstrates that recognizing the many forms of uncertainty that enter into the development of any particular subject matter is a precondition for more responsible choice and deeper knowledge.
Описание: New models and techniques are developed in this text to analyse economic dynamics in an uncertain environment.
Автор: Winston Название: The Timing of Economic Activities ISBN: 0521070929 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521070928 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 6019.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This study introduces `time-specific` analysis of economic processes.
Автор: Hans-Werner Sinn Название: Economic Decisions Under Uncertainty ISBN: 3790804363 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783790804362 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 10760.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: A stronger reason for developing a theory of uncertainty, therefore, seems to be the fact that there are kinds of economic activities to which the non-stochastic preference theory has no access or has access only through highly artificial constructions.
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