Автор: De Castell Sebastien Название: Traitor`s Blade ISBN: 1782066756 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781782066750 Издательство: Hodder Рейтинг: Цена: 1668.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: When every noble is a tyrant and every knight is a thug, the only thing you can really trust is a traitor`s blade. The Three Musketeers meets Joe Abercrombie via Mark Lawrence: `Guaranteed to increase household swashbuckling by 100%,` says Library Journal
Автор: Sebastien Braun Janet Bingham & Название: Goodnight Sleepy Babies ISBN: 1407139452 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781407139456 Издательство: Scholastic UK Рейтинг: Цена: 923.00 р. Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.
Описание: Say goodnight to all the baby animals as they snuggle up, close their eyes and peacefully drift off to sleep. From cuddly tiger cubs to snoozing song birds, each spread of this adorable picture book features different parent animals settling their little one down for the night. This reassuring tale is perfect to share at bedtime.
Автор: de Castell Sebastien Название: Knight`s Shadow ISBN: 1782066780 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781782066781 Издательство: Hachette UK Рейтинг: Цена: 1972.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The Greatcoats have found the heir to the throne . . . but now they must keep her alive, against all the odds. `First-rate fiction, first rate adventure, first rate full stop,` says Conn Iggulden
Автор: Castell, Sebastien De Название: Spellslinger 2: shadowblack ISBN: 1471406679 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781471406676 Издательство: Bonnier Books Рейтинг: Цена: 1929.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: SORCERY IS A SCAM . . . Four months after fleeing his own people, Kellen has discovered he's an even worse outlaw than he was mage. It doesn't help that his only allies are a swaggering card player and a thieving squirrel cat.Then he meets Seneira, a blindfolded girl who isn't blind, and whose secrets get them caught up in a conspiracy of magic, blackmail and murder. Now Kellen must find the mage responsible before the entire frontier falls victim to the mystical plague known as the shadowblack.Perfect for fans of The Dark Tower, Firefly, Guardians of the Galaxy, Terry Pratchett, Ben Aaronovitch and Jim Butcher.***'Magic with a Wild West flavour, served with flair.' Financial Times'A bucket-load of tension is offset with humour, power struggles, lots of magic and some great characters. Fantasy junkies will devour with relish.' The Guardian 'gloriously escapist fantasy' The Observer
Описание: This book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.
Автор: Braun Sebastien Название: National Trust: Look and Say What You See in the Countryside ISBN: 0857636170 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780857636171 Издательство: Nosy Crow Рейтинг: Цена: 1038.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: From summer in the meadow to autumn in the forest and lots of environments in between, this look-and-say book for little ones is a great way to start learning about nature and wildlife. What will you see down on the farm? Can you find the robin in the snow?
Автор: Van Fleteren, Frederick Le Nain De Tillemont, Louis-sebastien Название: Life of augustine of hippo ISBN: 1433102854 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781433102851 Издательство: Peter Lang Рейтинг: Цена: 16147.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The seventeenth century was the century of Saint Augustine. In 1695, Louis Sebastien, finished volume 13 of his Memoires ecclesiastique, entitled "La vie de saint Augustin". This English translation covers three time periods: birth to episcopal consecraton (354-396); the Donatist controversy (396-411); and the Pelagian controversy (411-430).
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