Автор: Allison, Graham Название: Destined for war ISBN: 191134451X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781911344513 Издательство: TBS/GBS Цена: 3760.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ. Описание: China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason, argues Harvard scholar Graham Allison in this razor-sharp analysis, is Thucydides's Trap. This phenomenon, as old as history itself, is named for the Greek historian's assessment of why the Peloponnesian War broke out: a rising power threatened to displace a ruling one.
Over the past 500 years, such a struggle has occurred between major powers just sixteen times. In twelve cases, it resulted in war. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries 'great again', the seventeenth case looks grim.
Unless China scales back its ambitions or the US accepts becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyber attack, or accident at sea could soon escalate. Through uncanny historical parallels, Destined for War shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past - and what painful steps the US and China can and must take to avoid disaster.
Автор: Allison, Graham Название: Destined for war ISBN: 191134451X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781911344513 Издательство: TBS/GBS Рейтинг: Цена: 3760.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason, argues Harvard scholar Graham Allison in this razor-sharp analysis, is Thucydides's Trap. This phenomenon, as old as history itself, is named for the Greek historian's assessment of why the Peloponnesian War broke out: a rising power threatened to displace a ruling one.
Over the past 500 years, such a struggle has occurred between major powers just sixteen times. In twelve cases, it resulted in war. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries 'great again', the seventeenth case looks grim.
Unless China scales back its ambitions or the US accepts becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyber attack, or accident at sea could soon escalate. Through uncanny historical parallels, Destined for War shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past - and what painful steps the US and China can and must take to avoid disaster.
Описание: "Superb . . . One of the most insightful and thought-provoking books I have ever read on the most important relationship in the world."--General (Ret.) David Petraeus
"Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around."--Joe Biden
China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides's Trap: when a rising power threatens to displace a ruling one, violence is the likeliest result. Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times; war broke out in twelve. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries "great again," the seventeenth case looks grim. A trade conflict, cyberattack, Korean crisis, or accident at sea could easily spark a major war.
In Destined for War, eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison masterfully blends history and current events to explain the timeless machinery of Thucydides's Trap--and to explore the painful steps that might prevent disaster today.
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