Ignorance and Uncertainty, Compte Olivier, Postlewaite Andrew
Автор: Herbert I. Weisberg Название: Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty ISBN: 0470890444 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470890448 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 4586.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology.
Автор: Mohammed Abdellaoui; R. Duncan Luce; Mark J. Machi Название: Uncertainty and Risk ISBN: 3642080294 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642080296 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 20962.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book tries to sort out the different meanings of uncertainty and to discover their foundations. It shows that uncertainty can be represented using various tools and mental guidelines. Behavior under uncertainty emerges from this book as something to base more on inquiry and reflection rather than on mere intuition.
Автор: Lindley Название: Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition ISBN: 1118650123 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781118650127 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 15674.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations, Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty, its truths, and its falsehoods.
Автор: Svetlana Boyarchenko; Sergei Levendorskii Название: Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty ISBN: 3642092934 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642092930 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 25853.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems.
Описание: Chapter five contains examples of using ecological Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) - a relatively new method of environmental impact assessment - which help in preparing pro-ecological strategy, and which can lead to reducing the amount of wastes produced in the ArcelorMittal Steel Plant production processes.
Автор: Wolfgang Fellin; Heimo Lessmann; Michael Obergugge Название: Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering ISBN: 3642060781 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642060786 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 19589.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Assessment of characteristic shear strength parameters of soil and its implication in geotechnical design.- Ambiguity of safety definition in geotechnical models.- The fuzziness and sensitivity of failure probabilities.- The mathematics of uncertainty: models, methods and interpretations.- Multi-parameter models: rules and computational methods for combining uncertainties.- Sensitivity analysis.- Difficulties related to numerical predictions of deformations.- FE ultimate load analyses of pile-supported pipelines - tackling uncertainty in a real design problem.- The Implications of Geotechnical Model Uncertainty for Construction Management.- Fuzzy, probabilistic and stochastic modelling of an elastically bedded beam.- Queueing models with fuzzy data in construction management.- Fuzzy models in geotechnical engineering and construction management.
Автор: Compte Olivier, Postlewaite Andrew Название: Ignorance and Uncertainty ISBN: 1108422020 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781108422024 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 15682.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Compte and Postlewaite propose novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling, without complex mathematics. An accessible text that proposes a constructive critique of the discipline, and that will find a broad audience with readers who build or use economic models, and those just interested in the discipline.
Автор: Hykel Hosni; F. Montagna Название: Probability, Uncertainty and Rationality ISBN: 8876423478 ISBN-13(EAN): 9788876423475 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 4053.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: While logic lends its methods, techniques and ideas to the investigation of rationality, the practical problems which arise in modelling rational behaviour, especially in the social sciences, motivate logicians to develop more refined logical formalisms. This title explores the virtuous circle connecting logic and rationality.
Описание: In the literature of decision analysis it is traditional to rely on the tools provided by probability theory to deal with problems in which uncertainty plays a substantive role. , n, in which X and Yare real-valued variables and Ai and Bi are fuzzy numbers exemplified by small, large, not very small, close to 5, etc.
Описание: The best suited approaches for practical system dependability modeling and calculation, (1) the minimal cut approach, (2) the Markov process approach, and (3) the Markov minimal cut approach as a combination of (1) and (2) are described in detail and applied to several examples.
Автор: Kadane Название: Pragmatics Of Uncertainty ISBN: 1498719848 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781498719841 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 16078.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: A fair question to ask of an advocate of subjective Bayesianism (which the author is) is "how would you model uncertainty?" In this book, the author writes about how he has done it using real problems from the past, and offers additional comments about the context in which he was working.
Автор: V.T. Covello; Lester B. Lave; Alan Moghissi; V.R.R Название: Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making ISBN: 146845319X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781468453195 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 16979.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Proceedings of the Society for Risk Analysis International Workshop held in Knoxville, Tennessee, September 30-October 3, 1984
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