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War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics, Friedman Jeffrey A.


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Автор: Friedman Jeffrey A.
Название:  War and Chance: Assessing Uncertainty in International Politics
ISBN: 9780190938024
Издательство: Oxford Academ
Классификация:




ISBN-10: 0190938021
Обложка/Формат: Hardcover
Страницы: 240
Вес: 0.48 кг.
Дата издания: 01.05.2019
Серия: Bridging the gap
Язык: English
Иллюстрации: 46 black and white line drawings
Размер: 162 x 241 x 22
Читательская аудитория: General (us: trade)
Подзаголовок: Assessing uncertainty in international politics
Ссылка на Издательство: Link
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Поставляется из: Англии
Описание: Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks,
or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong.

In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman shows how foreign policy officials often try to avoid the challenge of assessing uncertainty, and argues that this behavior undermines high-stakes decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he explains how
foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of
probabilistic reasoning in international politics, and shows how placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate.

A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.



Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction: Assessing the U.S. Government`s Policy

Автор: Mauroni Albert J.
Название: Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction: Assessing the U.S. Government`s Policy
ISBN: 1442273291 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781442273290
Издательство: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
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Цена: 27667.00 р.
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Описание: This book uses a public policy framework to examine how the U.S. government, and in particular the U.S. military, should address the potential use of unconventional weapons in the 21st century. It discusses past policy efforts before offering a critical review of current strategies and proposes new national framework for countering WMD.

Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction: Assessing the U.S. Government S Policy

Автор: Mauroni Albert J.
Название: Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction: Assessing the U.S. Government S Policy
ISBN: 1442273305 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781442273306
Издательство: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
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Цена: 11405.00 р.
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Описание: This book uses a public policy framework to examine how the U.S. government, and in particular the U.S. military, should address the potential use of unconventional weapons in the 21st century. It discusses past policy efforts before offering a critical review of current strategies and proposes new national framework for countering WMD.

Assessing China`s Power

Автор: Chung Jae Ho
Название: Assessing China`s Power
ISBN: 1137537078 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781137537072
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 7685.00 р.
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Описание: The topic of China`s rise and what it really means for the global and regional order is the subject of intense debate. In this volume, top scholars address China`s power today, compare China`s power with that of the USA, and forecast China`s power in 2025.

Assessing Maritime Power in the Asia-Pacific

Автор: Kennedy
Название: Assessing Maritime Power in the Asia-Pacific
ISBN: 1472463579 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781472463579
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
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Цена: 23734.00 р.
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Описание: "Leading academics from around the world, who specialize in analysing maritime strategic issues, deliberate the impact of the American `pivot` or `re-balance` strategy, and the `Air-Sea Battle` Operational concept, on the maritime power and posture of a number of selected states. Intending to strengthen US economic, diplomatic, and security engagement throughout the Asia-Pacific, both bilaterally and multilaterally, the re-balance stands out as one of the Obama administration`s most far-sighted and ambitious foreign policy initiatives"--

Assessing China`s Power

Автор: Jae Ho Chung
Название: Assessing China`s Power
ISBN: 113753706X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781137537065
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 12157.00 р.
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Описание: The topic of China`s rise and what it really means for the global and regional order is the subject of intense debate. In this volume, top scholars address China`s power today, compare China`s power with that of the USA, and forecast China`s power in 2025.

The Federal Civil Service Workforce: Assessing the Effects on Retention of Pay Freezes, Unpaid Furloughs, and

Автор: Asch Beth J., Mattock Michael G., Hosek James
Название: The Federal Civil Service Workforce: Assessing the Effects on Retention of Pay Freezes, Unpaid Furloughs, and
ISBN: 0833086855 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780833086853
Издательство: Неизвестно
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Цена: 5783.00 р.
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Описание: How do we learn to risk, to trust, to pursue wholeness and excellence-to run with the horses and live life at its best? In a series of profound reflections on the life of Jeremiah the prophet, Eugene Peterson explores the heart of what it means to be fully and genuinely human. This special commemorative edition includes a new preface from Peterson`s son and a six-session Bible study guide.

The Foreign Policy of the European Union: Assessing Europe`s Role in the World

Автор: Bindi Federiga
Название: The Foreign Policy of the European Union: Assessing Europe`s Role in the World
ISBN: 0815738110 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780815738114
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
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Цена: 5683.00 р.
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Описание:

An all-inclusive, exhaustive evaluation of the foreign policy of the European Union

Ten years ago the 2009 Lisbon Treaty put into place the legal and structural foundations for the European Union to play a role as a global actor. In the decade since, the EU itself has undergone intense political and economic stress, from debt crises to the rise of nationalist parties and the strains of Brexit. What effect have these changes had on the EU's foreign policy and its role in the world?

This new edition of The Foreign Policy of the European Union offers an up-to-date and comprehensive examination of that question. The globe-spanning contributions to the book include a look at relations between Brussels and its regional neighbors, including Russia; the tensions that have arisen with the United States during the Trump administration; and the burgeoning relationship with China. How the EU is dealing with issues such as migration, terrorism, trade, and security round out the volume.

War and chance

Автор: Friedman, Jeffrey A. (assistant Professor Of Political Science, Assistant Professor Of Political Science, Dartmouth College)
Название: War and chance
ISBN: 0197619134 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780197619131
Издательство: Oxford Academ
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Цена: 2374.00 р.
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Описание: How do minds make societies, and how do societies change? Paul Thagard systematically connects neural and psychological explanations of mind with major social sciences (social psychology, sociology, politics, economics, anthropology, and history) and professions (medicine, law, education, engineering, and business). Social change emerges from interacting social and mental mechanisms.


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