Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 0141031484 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141031484 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 1452.00 р. Наличие на складе: Ожидается поступление.
Описание: Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book intends to change the way you think about business and the world.
Описание: The landmark five-book investigation of uncertainty, chance, volatility, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand--now in a beautifully designed, cloth-bound deluxe hardcover boxed set. Nassim Nicholas Taleb's New York Times bestselling series--consisting of Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, The Bed of Procrustes, and Skin in the Game--has changed the way millions see the world and think about uncertainty, chance, volatility, and risk across a wide range of domains. They can be read singly but are also written to complement each other and actually comprise a single work. The Incerto is that collection, newly designed and boxed (now including his most recently published book, Skin in the Game) to offer readers the full scope of the most significant and impactful intellectual projects of our time. In Fooled by Randomness, Taleb explores the impact of one of the least understood forces in all of our lives--randomness--and its effects in the forum in which luck is most conspicuously mistaken for skill: the world of business. In The Black Swan, Taleb shows us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. The Bed of Procrustes, a provocative book of aphorisms, represents Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side effects--modifying humans to satisfy technology and blaming reality for not fitting economic models. In Antifragile, Taleb identifies a category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and thrive. Skin in the Game shows how the willingness to accept one's own risks is an essential attribute of heroes, saints, and flourishing people in all walks of life.
Описание: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year " Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church." -Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink "The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade." -Maggie Mahar, author of Bull A History of the Boom, 1982--1999 "Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you." -Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving "Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould." -Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World's Best Companies Simulate to Innovate "We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded." -Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance "Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights and] extreme brilliance." -National Review
Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 0812975219 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812975215 Издательство: Random House (USA) Цена: 1839.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESSNamed by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year " Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church." -Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink "The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade." -Maggie Mahar, author of Bull A History of the Boom, 1982--1999 "Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you." -Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving "Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould." -Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World's Best Companies Simulate to Innovate "We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded." -Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance "Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights and] extreme brilliance." -National Review
This book is about one imperfect family's adventures, as told through stories about the events they have experienced together. Nearly every idea included began with a spur-of-the-moment action that either produced a useful result...or didn't. What worked, they did again. What didn't, they discarded. Some are humorous and all are insightful. You will see yourself in these stories and learn how to apply the wisdom you have gained from your own childhood and now as a parent.
Glenda Wilkes, PhD, a developmental psychologist and parent of six (now grown and married) children has written and assembled a delightfully entertaining and enlightening collection of stories about her family. The lessons she learned will broaden your family's understanding of each other and help you create a shared learning dynamic. The result will be a more focused, thoughtful, and interactive parenting style. And you will have fun uncovering the underlying principles inherent in family life.
New York Times best-selling author Dr. Kevin Leman touts Dr. Wilkes as "a narrator who has soaked up the details of her family's adventures and recounts them with humor and insight. This is a book you'll read again and again. It will cause you to recall your own childhood as well as give you new ideas for your own children."
All of us have family stories. Now it's time to discover how to learn from them
Автор: Henri Atlan Название: The Sparks of Randomness, Volume 2: The Atheism of Scripture ISBN: 0804761345 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780804761345 Издательство: Wiley EDC Рейтинг: Цена: 14586.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
In this second volume of The Sparks of Randomness, Henri Atlan pursues his investigation of human life, which he grounds in a distinctive intermingling of the biological and cognitive sciences and traditions of Jewish thought. The Atheism of Scripture offers up a paradox: its audacious thesis is that the Word or revealed scripture can be better understood without God. It must be decrypted or analyzed atheistically, that is, not as divine revelation, but in and of itself. The first part of the book addresses contemporary science. It puts the evolution of ideas about life and knowledge as conceived by today's biological and cognitive sciences into perspective and shows how the genealogy of ethics must be approached in a new way. The second part takes up this challenge by putting classical philosophy in dialogue with the Talmud and the Kabbalah to advance a non-dualistic anthropology of the body and the mind.
Автор: Atlan Henri Название: The Sparks of Randomness, Volume 1: Spermatic Knowledge ISBN: 0804760276 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780804760270 Издательство: Wiley EDC Рейтинг: Цена: 4288.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
The Sparks of Randomness, Henri Atlan's magnum opus, develops his whole philosophy with a highly impressive display of knowledge, wisdom, depth, rigor, and intellectual and moral vigor. Atlan founds an ethics adapted to the new power over life that modern scientific knowledge has given us. He holds that the results of science cannot ground any ethical or political truth whatsoever, while human creative activity and the conquest of knowledge are a double-edged sword. This first volume, Spermatic Knowledge, begins with the Talmudic tale about the prophet Jeremiah's creation of a golem, or artificial man. Atlan shows that the Jewish tradition does not demonize man for creating and changing living things—a charge often leveled at promoters of advanced technologies, like biologists, who are accused of "playing God." To the contrary, man is depicted as being the co-creator of the world.
Although Atlan believes that the fabrication of life "from scratch" will take place in the near future, he posits that this achievement will not really amount to creating life current biology and biotechnologies have demonstrated that there is no absolute distinction between life and non-life, no critical threshold whose crossing would be taboo. He also debunks and demystifies our belief in free will and our conviction, of theological origin, that there would be no possibility for ethics if free will were shown to be an illusion. Throughout, he combines science, religion, and ancient and modern philosophy in unexpected and inspired ways. His radical, uncompromising Spinozism allows him to propose a complete revision of cognitive science and philosophy of mind, while showing that their current impasses stem from remnants of traditional dualism. From his brilliant reflections on time, he also derives exciting considerations for medicine and epidemiology.
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