Описание: Stagnant global trade, subdued investment, and heightened policy uncertainty marked another difficult year for the world economy. A subdued recovery is expected for 2017, with receding obstacles to activity in commodity exporters and solid domestic demand in commodity importers. Weak investment is weighing on medium-term prospects across many emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs). Although fiscal stimulus in major economies, if implemented, may boost global growth above expectations, risks to growth forecasts remain tilted to the downside. Important downside risks stem from heightened policy uncertainty in major economies.Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report. On a semiannual basis (January and June), it examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on developing countries. The report includes analysis of topical policy challenges faced by developing countries through in-depth research in the January edition and shorter analytical pieces in the June edition.
Название: Uncertain futures ISBN: 0198820801 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780198820802 Издательство: Oxford Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 12514.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Uncertain Futures considers how economists visualize the future and decide how to act in conditions of uncertainty. Because dynamic capitalist economies are characterized by innovation and novelty they exhibit an indeterminacy that cannot be reduced. This book questions how expectations can be formed and decisions made in spite of uncertainty.
Автор: Luigi Luini Название: Uncertain Decisions ISBN: 1461373123 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781461373124 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 20962.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Uncertain Decisions: Bridging Theory and Experiments presents advanced directions of thinking on decision theory - in particular the more recent contributions on non-expected utility theory, fuzzy decision theory and case-based theory.
Автор: Luigi Luini Название: Uncertain Decisions ISBN: 0792383915 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792383918 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 29209.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Presents directions of thinking on decision theory on non-expected utility theory, fuzzy decision theory and case-based theory. This book also provides theoretical insights on measures of risk aversion and on problems for general equilibrium analysis. It analyzes how the thinking that underlies these theories spills over into real decisions.
Автор: Zeshui Xu Название: Uncertain Multi-Attribute Decision Making ISBN: 3662526255 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783662526255 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 18167.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book introduces methods for uncertain multi-attribute decision making including uncertain multi-attribute group decision making and their applications to supply chain management, investment decision making, personnel assessment, redesigning products, maintenance services, military system efficiency evaluation.
Автор: Abraham Lioui; Patrice Poncet Название: Dynamic Asset Allocation with Forwards and Futures ISBN: 1441936890 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781441936899 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 23757.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Preface.- Acknowledgements.- Notations.- Part I: The Basics.- Forward and Futures Markets.- Standard Pricing Results Under Deterministic and Stochastic Interest Rates.- Part II: Investment and Hedging.- Pure Hedging.- Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Choice in Complete Markets.- Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Choice in Incomplete Markets.- Optimal Currency Risk Hedging.- Optimal Spreading.- Pricing and Hedging under Stochastic Dividend or Convenience Yield.- Part III: General Equilibrium Pricing.- Equilibrium Asset Pricing in an Endowment Economy with Non-Redundant Forward or Futures Contracts.- Equilibrium Asset Pricing in a Production Economy with Non-Redundant Forward or Futures Contracts.- General Equilibrium Pricing of Futures and Forward Contracts written on the CPI.- References.- Subject Index.
Автор: Manski Charles F Название: Public Policy in an Uncertain World ISBN: 0674066898 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780674066892 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 7120.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Manski argues that public policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. Failing to account for uncertainty in an uncertain world, policy analysis routinely misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Manski critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve both how policy research is conducted and how it is used by policy makers.
Автор: Rollason Will Название: Pacific Futures ISBN: 1782383506 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781782383505 Издательство: Berghahn Рейтинг: Цена: 17846.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
The Pacific region presents a huge diversity of cultural forms, which have fuelled some of the most challenging ethnographic work undertaken in the discipline. But this challenge has come at a cost. Culture, often reconfigured as ‘custom’, has often served to trap the people of the Pacific in the past of cultural reproduction, where everything is what it has always been, or worse—outdated, outmoded and destined for modernization.
Pacific Futures asks how our understanding of social life in the Pacific would be different if we approached it from the perspective of the futures which Pacific people dream of, predict or struggle to achieve, not the reproduction of cultural tradition. From Christianity to gambling, marriage to cargo cult, military coups to reflections on childhood fishing trips, the contributors to this volume show how Pacific people are actively shaping their lives with the future in mind.
Описание: This handbook shows how the Asian Development Bank (ADB) piloted futures thinking and foresight to understand entry points to support transformational change and ?nance the future of Asia and the Paci?c.Futures thinking and foresight is a powerful planning approach that can help the region meet economic, political, social, and environmental and climate change challenges. The publication compiles lessons from an ADB initiative to apply futures and foresight tools in Armenia, Cambodia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, the People’s Republic of China, the Philippines, and Timor-Leste. Futures terminology is introduced as are specific tools such as emerging issues analysis, scenario planning, and backcasting. It also describes how futures and foresight tools were applied in the countries.
Автор: Brian Gardner Название: Global Food Futures: Feeding the World in 2050 ISBN: 0857851543 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780857851543 Издательство: Bloomsbury Academic Рейтинг: Цена: 15840.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: By 2050 the world will face the enormous challenge of feeding 9 billion people in the face of climate change, rising energy costs and pressure on food-growing land and resources. This is the first scholarly yet accessible account of the global food situation, synthesising the key issues in one volume.
Автор: Sputnik Futures Название: Hacking Immortality: New Realities in the Quest to Live Forever ISBN: 1982139838 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781982139834 Издательство: Simon & Schuster Рейтинг: Цена: 1781.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Cheat death-or at least delay it-with this accessible look into the quest for immortality, and what it means for human civilisation.
Автор: Hughes, Barry Название: International Futures ISBN: 0128042710 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780128042717 Издательство: Elsevier Science Рейтинг: Цена: 17012.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Eradicating poverty, advancing education, improving health, building global infrastructure, strengthening governance, all while protecting sustainable interactions with our environment—these are among the most critical issues challenging humanity this century. Each of these issues interacts spatially, causally, and temporarily with the rest. Yet, most models and analysis approaches do not fully take into account the global, causal, and temporal connections among these challenges. This book extensively covers one of the most advanced systems for integrated, long-term, global and large-scale forecasting analysis available today, the International Futures (IFs) system. Key elements of a strong long-term global forecasting system are described, i.e. the formulations for the driving variables in separate major models and the manner in which these separate models are integrated. The heavy use of algorithmic and rule-based elements as well as the use of elements of control theory is explained. Furthermore, the IFs system is compared and contrasted with all other major modelling efforts, also outlining the major benefits of the IFs system such as integration of analyses of more ‘issue areas’ than other forecasting systems, more extensive treatment of countries, the longer time horizon, and the extensive data foundations of the system. The book further provides suggestions on how the development of forecasting systems might most productively proceed in the coming years.
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