Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty, Vincent A. W. J. Marchau; Warren E. Walker; Pieter
Автор: Mohammed Abdellaoui; John D. Hey Название: Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 3642088007 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642088001 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 20962.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Uncertainty and Information Modeling.- Revealed Ambiguity and Its Consequences: Updating.- Dynamic Decision Making When Risk Perception Depends on Past Experience.- Representation of Conditional Preferences Under Uncertainty.- Subjective Information in Decision Making and Communication.- Risk Modeling.- Sensitivity Analysis in Decision Making: A Consistent Approach.- Alternation Bias and the Parameterization of Cumulative Prospect Theory.- Proposing a Normative Basis for the S-Shaped Value Function.- Experimental Individual Decision Making.- Individual Choice from a Convex Lottery Set: Experimental Evidence.- Temptations and Dynamic Consistency.- Monty Hall's Three Doors for Dummies.- Overconfidence in Predictions as an Effect of Desirability Bias.- Experimental Interactive Decision Making.- Granny Versus Game Theorist: Ambiguity in Experimental Games.- Guessing Games and People Behaviours: What Can We Learn?.- The Determinants of Individual Behaviour in Network Formation: Some Experimental Evidence.
Автор: Antonio J. Conejo; Miguel Carri?n; Juan M. Morales Название: Decision Making Under Uncertainty in Electricity Markets ISBN: 1461426782 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781461426783 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 41787.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book provides models and procedures to be used by electricity market agents to make informed decisions under uncertainty. These procedures rely on well established stochastic programming models, which make them efficient and robust.
Автор: Consigli Название: Optimal Financial Decision Making under Uncertainty ISBN: 3319416111 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319416113 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 19564.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The scope of this volume is primarily to analyze from different methodological perspectives similar valuation and optimization problems arising in financial applications, aimed at facilitating a theoretical and computational integration between methods largely regarded as alternatives. Increasingly in recent years, financial management problems such as strategic asset allocation, asset-liability management, as well as asset pricing problems, have been presented in the literature adopting formulation and solution approaches rooted in stochastic programming, robust optimization, stochastic dynamic programming (including approximate SDP) methods, as well as policy rule optimization, heuristic approaches and others. The aim of the volume is to facilitate the comprehension of the modeling and methodological potentials of those methods, thus their common assumptions and peculiarities, relying on similar financial problems. The volume will address different valuation problems common in finance related to: asset pricing, optimal portfolio management, risk measurement, risk control and asset-liability management.The volume features chapters of theoretical and practical relevance clarifying recent advances in the associated applied field from different standpoints, relying on similar valuation problems and, as mentioned, facilitating a mutual and beneficial methodological and theoretical knowledge transfer. The distinctive aspects of the volume can be summarized as follows:
Strong benchmarking philosophy, with contributors explicitly asked to underline current limits and desirable developments in their areas.Theoretical contributions, aimed at advancing the state-of-the-art in the given domain with a clear potential for applicationsThe inclusion of an algorithmic-computational discussion of issues arising on similar valuation problems across different methods.Variety of applications: rarely is it possible within a single volume to consider and analyze different, and possibly competing, alternative optimization techniques applied to well-identified financial valuation problems.Clear definition of the current state-of-the-art in each methodological and applied area to facilitate future research directions.
Автор: Ed: Kristian Sund Название: Uncertainty and Strategic Decision Making ISBN: 1786351706 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781786351708 Издательство: Emerald Рейтинг: Цена: 19919.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In this book, leading researchers on Managerial and Organizational Cognition consider the foundations of individual and social cognition and their effect on strategic decision-making.
Автор: Claude Greengard; Andrzej Ruszczynski Название: Decision Making Under Uncertainty ISBN: 1441930140 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781441930149 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 21661.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In the ideal world, major decisions would be made based on complete and reliable information available to the decision maker. The volume contains articles on model problems of decision making process in the energy and power industry when the available information is noisy and/or incomplete.
Автор: J. Geweke Название: Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 9401052611 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789401052610 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 27950.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc.
This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events.Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with “granules” that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities.This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making —so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.
Автор: Eoyang Glenda, Holladay Royce Название: Adaptive Action: Leveraging Uncertainty in Your Organization ISBN: 0804787115 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780804787116 Издательство: Wiley EDC Рейтинг: Цена: 4803.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Rooted in the study of chaos and complexity, Adaptive Action introduces a simple, common sense process that will guide you and your organization into reflective action.
This elegant method prompts readers to engage with three deceptively simple questions: What? So what? Now what? The first leads to careful observation. The second invites you to thoughtfully consider options and implications. The third ignites effective action. Together, these questions and the tools that support them produce a dynamic and creative dance with uncertainty. The road-tested steps of adaptive action can be used to devise solutions and improve performance across multiple challenges, and they have proven to be scalable from individuals to work groups, from organizations to communities.
In addition to laying out the adaptive action framework and clear protocols to support it, Glenda H. Eoyang and Royce J. Holladay introduce best practices from exemplary professionals who have used adaptive action to meet personal, professional, and political challenges in leadership, consulting, Alzheimer's treatment, evaluation, education reform, political advocacy, and cultural engagement—readying readers to employ this new toolkit to meet their own goals with a sense of ingenuity and flexibility.
Автор: Jerzy A. Filar; Alain Haurie Название: Uncertainty and Environmental Decision Making ISBN: 1461425255 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781461425250 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 26120.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This important new work presents the state-of-the-art in applying operations research and management science (OR/MS) techniques to a broad range of environmental decision making (EDM) challenges. The subject matter is of critical importance.
Автор: Jerzy A. Filar; Alain Haurie Название: Uncertainty and Environmental Decision Making ISBN: 1441911286 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781441911285 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 26122.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This important new work presents the state-of-the-art in applying operations research and management science (OR/MS) techniques to a broad range of environmental decision making (EDM) challenges. The subject matter is of critical importance.
Описание: This book introduces general techniques for thinking systematically and quantitatively about uncertainty in engineering decision problems. It shows how conditional expectations and conditional cumulative distributions can be estimated in a simulation model.
Автор: J. Geweke Название: Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 0792319044 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792319047 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 32004.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: A collection of work representative of the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty. The authors present extensions and alternatives to expected utility theory explaining diverse behaviour, including activity in financial markets, crimes of passion and the Ellsberg paradox.
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