Автор: Tetlock Philip E. Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 3485.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.
Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Описание: Tracing the evolution of two major traditions in political philosophy-critical theory and philosophical liberalism-and the way they confront the judgment paradox, Albena Azmanova critiques prevailing models of deliberative democracy and their preference for ideal theory over political applicability
Автор: Schaeffer Denise Название: Rousseau on Education, Freedom, and Judgment ISBN: 027106210X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780271062105 Издательство: NBN International Рейтинг: Цена: 6748.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Explores the writings of Rousseau, including Emile, Discourse on the Origins of Inequality, and On the Social Contract, focusing on the problem of judgment and its role in creating the condition for genuine self-rule.
Автор: Celermajer, Danielle Название: Power, judgment and political evil ISBN: 1409403505 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781409403500 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 20671.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: An insightful and intelligent treatment of the work of Hannah Arendt, which draws internationally leading experts into dialogue with Arendt`s political theory. The book will appeal to a wide number of fields beyond political theory and philosophy, including law, literary studies, social anthropology and cultural history.
Автор: Bukovsky Vladimir K. Название: Judgment in Moscow: Soviet Crimes and Western Complicity ISBN: 0998041629 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780998041629 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 6550.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Secret Communist Party of the Soviet Union documents stolen by the author, a famous dissident, reveal decades of Soviet infiltration of Western politics and confidential collaboration by Western leaders. Contains translated excerpts from the Communist Party archives, and 400 fact-checked footnotes on events affected.
Автор: Martin Blumenthal-Barby Название: Arendt, Kant, and the Enigma of Judgment ISBN: 0810145472 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780810145474 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 4851.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: More than a half century after it was first published, Hannah Arendt`s Origins of Totalitarianism rose to the top of bestseller lists as readers grappled with the triumph of Trumpism. This volume directs our attention to her later thought, the highly provocative Lectures on Kant`s Political Philosophy.
Автор: Martin Blumenthal-Barby Название: Arendt, Kant, and the Enigma of Judgment ISBN: 0810145480 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780810145481 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 14830.00 р. Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.
Описание:
A nuanced extrapolation of Hannah Arendt’s theory of judgment through her highly provocative reading of Immanuel Kant
More than a half century after it was first published, Hannah Arendt’s Origins of Totalitarianism rose to the top of best-seller lists as readers grappled with the triumph of Trumpism. Arendt, Kant, and the Enigma of Judgment directs our attention to her later thought, the posthumously published and highly provocative Lectures on Kant’s Political Philosophy. Martin Blumenthal-Barby puts this work in dialogue with Arendt’s other writings, including her notes on Kant’s Critique of Judgment, to outline her theory of judgment for the twentieth century. The idea that authentic judgment—for example, the ability to distinguish right from wrong—is incommensurable with abstract, automated processes lies at the center of Arendt’s late work and at the fore of our collective reckoning in an era of post-truths and artificial intelligence.
Rather than presenting us with a fixed account, Blumenthal-Barby suggests, Arendt’s drawing and redrawing of conceptual distinctions is itself an enactment of judgment, a process that challenges and complicates what she says at every turn. In so doing, Arendt, in thoroughly Kantian fashion, establishes judgment as a performative category that can never be taught but only demonstrated. As sharp as it is timely, this incisive book reminds us why a shared reality matters in a time of intense political polarization and why the democratic project, vulnerable as it may appear today, crucially depends on it.
Автор: Rodowick D. N. Название: An Education in Judgment: Hannah Arendt and the Humanities ISBN: 022678021X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780226780214 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 4910.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
In An Education in Judgment, philosopher D. N. Rodowick makes the definitive case for a philosophical humanistic education aimed at the cultivation of a life guided by both self-reflection and interpersonal exchange. Such a life is an education in judgment, the moral capacity to draw conclusions alone and with others, and in letting one's own judgments be answerable to the potentially contrasting judgments of others. Thinking, for Rodowick, is an art we practice with and learn from each other on a daily basis.
In taking this approach, Rodowick follows the lead of Hannah Arendt, who made judgment the cornerstone of her conception of community. What is important for Rodowick, as for Arendt, is the cultivation of "free relations," in which we allow our judgments to be affected and transformed by those of others, creating "an ever-widening fabric of intersubjective moral consideration." That is a fragile fabric, certainly, but one that Rodowick argues is worth pursuing, caring for, and preserving. This original work thinks with and beyond Arendt about the importance of the humanities and what "the humanities" amounts to beyond the walls of the university.
Автор: Scott Joan Wallach Название: On the Judgment of History ISBN: 0231196954 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780231196956 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 3168.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Joan Wallach Scott critically examines the belief that history will redeem us, revealing the implicit politics of appeals to the judgment of history. She argues that the notion of a linear, ever-improving direction of history hides the persistence of power structures and hinders the pursuit of alternative futures.
Автор: Bukovsky Vladimir K. Название: Judgment in Moscow: Soviet Crimes and Western Complicity ISBN: 0998041610 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780998041612 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 4803.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Secret Communist Party of the Soviet Union documents stolen by the author, a famous dissident, reveal decades of Soviet infiltration of Western politics and confidential collaboration by Western leaders.
Автор: Zerilli Linda M. G. Название: A Democratic Theory of Judgment ISBN: 022639798X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780226397986 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 4910.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In this sweeping look at political and philosophical history, Linda M. G. Zerilli unpacks the tightly woven core of Hannah Arendt's unfinished work on a tenacious modern problem: how to judge critically in the wake of the collapse of inherited criteria of judgment. Engaging a remarkable breadth of thinkers, including Ludwig Wittgenstein, Leo Strauss, Immanuel Kant, Frederick Douglass, John Rawls, Jurgen Habermas, Martha Nussbaum, and many others, Zerilli clears a hopeful path between an untenable universalism and a cultural relativism that forever defers the possibility of judging at all. Zerilli deftly outlines the limitations of existing debates, both those that concern themselves with the impossibility of judging across cultures and those that try to find transcendental, rational values to anchor judgement. Looking at Kant through the lens of Arendt, Zerilli develops the notion of a public conception of truth, and from there she explores relativism, historicism, and universalism as they shape feminist approaches to judgment. Following Arendt even further, Zerilli arrives at a hopeful new pathway--seeing the collapse of philosophical criteria for judgment not as a problem but a way to practice judgment anew as a world-building activity of democratic citizens. The result is an astonishing theoretical argument that travels through--and goes beyond--some of the most important political thought of the modern period.
Описание: The book offers an account of moral and political disagreement, explaining its nature and showing how we should deal with it. It shows how a pragmatist account will help us dealing with the most challenging kinds of moral and political disagreement and overcoming the menaces of skepticism and relativism while not relying upon illusory and unworkable ideals of reason.
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