Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment, Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R.

Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R.
Название: Noise Pb
ISBN: 0008309000 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008309008
Издательство: HarperCollins UK
Рейтинг:
Цена: 2512.00 р. 3140.00 -20%
Наличие на складе: Есть (1 шт.)
Описание: In 1721 a 20-year-old soprano employed at the princely court in Kthen married the courts Kapellmeister, set to become the greatest composer of the age. As his second wife she married into a young family with four children, and a busy household filled with music. The music book that Johann Sebastian Bach presented to his new wife Anna Magdalena in 1722, and replaced more lavishly in 1725, treats us to a tantalizing glimpse inside this unique family, allowing us to sit beside Bach as a composer, teacher, husband and father. Over the years, these notebooks became a place for the family to share instructional exercises, favourite pieces

Автор: Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R.
Название: Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
ISBN: 0316451401 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316451406
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
Рейтинг:
Цена: 3344.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: From the Nobel Prize-winning author ofThinking, Fast and Slowandthe coauthor ofNudge,a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better onesa tour de force' (New York Times).

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patientsor that two judges in the same courthouse givemarkedlydifferent sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firmmake different decisions aboutindistinguishable job applicantsor that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens toanswerthephone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the samecustomer service agentmakes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday.

These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

InNoise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunsteinshowthedetrimental effects of noisein many fields, including medicine, law,economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet,most of the time, individuals and organizations alikeare unaware of it.

They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds ofresearch-basedinsights that madeThinking, Fast and SlowandNudgegroundbreakingNew York Timesbestsellers,Noiseexplains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgmentand what we can do about it.