Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis: Seeds of the Future, Gordon Theodore J., Todorova Mariana
Автор: Morgan Название: Counterfactuals and Causal Inference ISBN: 1107694167 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781107694163 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 5702.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Cause-and-effect questions are the motivation for most research in the social, demographic, and health sciences. The counterfactual approach to causal analysis represents a unified framework for the prosecution of these questions. This second edition aims to convince more social scientists to take this approach when analyzing these core empirical questions.
Автор: Theodore J. Gordon; Mariana Todorova Название: Future Studies and Counterfactual Analysis ISBN: 3030184366 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030184360 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 6986.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists.
Описание: Cause-and-effect questions are the motivation for most research in the social, demographic, and health sciences. The counterfactual approach to causal analysis represents a unified framework for the prosecution of these questions. This second edition aims to convince more social scientists to take this approach when analyzing these core empirical questions.
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