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Social Simulation for a Crisis: Results and Lessons from Simulating the Covid-19 Crisis, Dignum Frank


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Автор: Dignum Frank
Название:  Social Simulation for a Crisis: Results and Lessons from Simulating the Covid-19 Crisis
ISBN: 9783030763961
Издательство: Springer
Классификация:




ISBN-10: 303076396X
Обложка/Формат: Hardcover
Страницы: 453
Вес: 0.82 кг.
Дата издания: 05.08.2021
Язык: English
Размер: 23.39 x 15.60 x 2.54 cm
Ссылка на Издательство: Link
Поставляется из: Германии
Описание: Simulating for a crisis is far more than creating a simulation of a crisis situation.


Simulating Combustion: Simulation of combustion and pollutant formation for Engine-development

Автор: Merker,
Название: Simulating Combustion: Simulation of combustion and pollutant formation for Engine-development
ISBN: 3540251618 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540251613
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 20896.00 р.
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Описание: The numerical simulation of combustion processes in internal combustion engines, including also the formation of pollutants, has become increasingly important in the recent years, and today the simulation of those processes has already become an indispensable tool when - veloping new combustion concepts.

Knowing When You Do Not Know: Simulating the Poverty and Distributional Impacts of an Economic Crisis

Автор: Narayan Ambar, Sanchez Carolina
Название: Knowing When You Do Not Know: Simulating the Poverty and Distributional Impacts of an Economic Crisis
ISBN: 0821389815 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780821389812
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
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Цена: 2911.00 р.
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Описание: Economists have long sought to predict how macroeconomic shocks will affect individual welfare. Macroeconomic data and forecasts are easily available when crises strike. But policy action requires not only understanding the magnitude of a macro shock, but also identifying which households or individuals are being hurt by (or benefit from) the crisis. A popular solution is to extrapolate the welfare impact of a shock from the historical response of income or consumption poverty to changes in output, by estimating an 'elasticity' of poverty to growth. Although this method provides an estimate for the aggregate poverty impact of a macro shock, it has limited value for analysts and policymakers alike. Aggregate numbers are useful to capture the attention of policymakers and the international community, but in the absence of any information on who is affected and to what extent, provide little guidance on what actions need to be taken. This volume outlines a more comprehensive approach to the problem, showcasing a microsimulation model, developed in response to demand from World Bank staff working in countries and country governments in the wake of the global financial crisis of 2008-09. Starting with the idea of using simple macroeconomic projections as the 'macro linkages' to a micro behavioral model built from household data, the model was conceptualized, refined and tested in a diverse mix of countries: Bangladesh, Philippines, Mexico, Poland and Mongolia. The results fed into country policy dialogue and lending operations of Bank teams, as well as various reports, research papers and briefs.

Simulating business processes for descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics

Автор: Greasley, Andrew
Название: Simulating business processes for descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics
ISBN: 1547416742 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781547416745
Издательство: Walter de Gruyter
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Цена: 9668.00 р.
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Описание: This book outlines the benefits and limitations of simulation, what is involved in setting up a simulation capability in an organization, the steps involved in developing a simulation model and how to ensure that model results are implemented. In addition, detailed example applications are provided to show where the tool is useful and what it can offer the decision maker. In Simulating Business Processes for Descriptive, Predictive, and Prescriptive Analytics , Andrew Greasley provides an in-depth discussion of Business process simulation and how it can enable business analytics How business process simulation can provide speed, cost, dependability, quality, and flexibility metrics Industrial case studies including improving service delivery while ensuring an efficient use of staff in public sector organizations such as the police service, testing the capacity of planned production facilities in manufacturing, and ensuring on-time delivery in logistics systems State-of-the-art developments in business process simulation regarding the generation of simulation analytics using process mining and modeling people’s behavior Managers and decision makers will learn how simulation provides a faster, cheaper and less risky way of observing the future performance of a real-world system. The book will also benefit personnel already involved in simulation development by providing a business perspective on managing the process of simulation, ensuring simulation results are implemented, and that performance is improved.

Simulating Good and Evil: The Morality and Politics of Videogames

Автор: Marcus Schulzke
Название: Simulating Good and Evil: The Morality and Politics of Videogames
ISBN: 1978818572 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781978818576
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
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Цена: 18810.00 р.
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Описание: Simulating Good and Evil shows that the moral panic surrounding violent videogames is deeply misguided, and often politically motivated, but that games are nevertheless morally important. Simulated actions are morally defensible because they take place outside the real world and do not inflict real harms. Decades of research purporting to show that videogames are immoral has failed to produce convincing evidence of this. However, games are morally important because they simulate decisions that would have moral weight if they were set in the real world. Videogames should be seen as spaces in which players may experiment with moral reasoning strategies without taking any actions that would themselves be subject to moral evaluation. Some videogame content may be upsetting or offensive, but mere offense does not necessarily indicate a moral problem. Upsetting content is best understood by applying existing theories for evaluating political ideologies and offensive speech.  

Intelligent Soccer Training: Simulating Games to Improve Technique and Tactics

Автор: Seeger Fabian, Fincke Andree
Название: Intelligent Soccer Training: Simulating Games to Improve Technique and Tactics
ISBN: 1782551700 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781782551706
Издательство: Неизвестно
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Цена: 3160.00 р.
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Описание: With its wide range of information, the content presented addresses all playing ages and performance levels. Intelligent Soccer Training qualitatively differs from known training content to present innovative and modern training forms of basic training, developing new forms and thus extending the range of exercise and play for the interested coach.

Simulating Information Retrieval Test Collections

Автор: Bodo Billerbeck, David Hawking, Nick Craswell, Paul Thomas
Название: Simulating Information Retrieval Test Collections
ISBN: 1681739577 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781681739571
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
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Цена: 11365.00 р.
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Описание: Simulated test collections may find application in situations where real datasets cannot easily be accessed due to confidentiality concerns or practical inconvenience. They can potentially support Information Retrieval (IR) experimentation, tuning, validation, performance prediction, and hardware sizing. Naturally, the accuracy and usefulness of results obtained from a simulation depend upon the fidelity and generality of the models which underpin it. The fidelity of emulation of a real corpus is likely to be limited by the requirement that confidential information in the real corpus should not be able to be extracted from the emulated version. We present a range of methods exploring trade-offs between emulation fidelity and degree of preservation of privacy.

We present three different simple types of text generator which work at a micro level: Markov models, neural net models, and substitution ciphers. We also describe macro level methods where we can engineer macro properties of a corpus, giving a range of models for each of the salient properties: document length distribution, word frequency distribution (for independent and non-independent cases), word length and textual representation, and corpus growth.

We present results of emulating existing corpora and for scaling up corpora by two orders of magnitude. We show that simulated collections generated with relatively simple methods are suitable for some purposes and can be generated very quickly. Indeed it may sometimes be feasible to embed a simple lightweight corpus generator into an indexer for the purpose of efficiency studies.

Naturally, a corpus of artificial text cannot support IR experimentation in the absence of a set of compatible queries. We discuss and experiment with published methods for query generation and query log emulation.

We present a proof-of-the-pudding study in which we observe the predictive accuracy of efficiency and effectiveness results obtained on emulated versions of TREC corpora. The study includes three open-source retrieval systems and several TREC datasets. There is a trade-off between confidentiality and prediction accuracy and there are interesting interactions between retrieval systems and datasets. Our tentative conclusion is that there are emulation methods which achieve useful prediction accuracy while providing a level of confidentiality adequate for many applications.

Modelling the Evolution of Natural Fracture Networks: Methods for Simulating the Nucleation, Propagation and Interaction of Layer-Bound Fractures

Автор: Welch Michael John, Lьthje Mikael, Oldfield Simon John
Название: Modelling the Evolution of Natural Fracture Networks: Methods for Simulating the Nucleation, Propagation and Interaction of Layer-Bound Fractures
ISBN: 3030524132 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030524135
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 19564.00 р.
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Описание:

Introduction.- Conceptual Model.- Modelling Microfractures.- Modelling Macrofractures.- Active and Static Fractures.- Elastic Moduli and Stress.- Controls on Fracture Evolution.- Some Outcrop Examples.- Application to the Subsurface.- Conclusions and Further Work.


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