Social Comparison, Judgment, and Behavior, Suls Jerry, Collins Rebecca L., Wheeler Ladd
Автор: Tetlock Philip E. Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 3485.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.
Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: Conformity: The Power of Social Influences ISBN: 1479810177 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781479810178 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 1881.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Bestselling author Cass R. Sunstein reveals the appeal and the danger of conformity We live in an era of tribalism, polarization, and intense social division-separating people along lines of religion, political conviction, race, ethnicity, and sometimes gender. How did this happen? In Conformity, Cass R.
Sunstein argues that the key to making sense of living in this fractured world lies in understanding the idea of conformity-what it is and how it works-as well as the countervailing force of dissent. An understanding of conformity sheds new light on many issues confronting us today: the role of social media, the rise of fake news, the growth of authoritarianism, the success of Donald Trump, the functions of free speech, debates over immigration and the Supreme Court, and much more. Lacking information of our own and seeking the good opinion of others, we often follow the crowd, but Sunstein shows that when individuals suppress their own instincts about what is true and what is right, it can lead to significant social harm.
While dissenters tend to be seen as selfish individualists, dissent is actually an important means of correcting the natural human tendency toward conformity and has enormous social benefits in reducing extremism, encouraging critical thinking, and protecting freedom itself. Sunstein concludes that while much of the time it is in the individual's interest to follow the crowd, it is in the social interest for individuals to say and do what they think is best. A well-functioning democracy depends on it.
Do not read this book unless you are ready to see the world differently...
Psychological Warfare: The Ultimate Guide to Understanding Human Behavior, Brainwashing, Propaganda, Deception, Negotiation, Dark Psychology, and Manipulation is a must-have book for everyone who recognizes the dangers we face daily in modern society. Are you subject to workplace manipulation? Is your romantic relationship balanced and fair, or does one partner hold all the power?
This book helps you to understand what is meant by "psychological warfare" and how it affects you and the people you love.
Find out:
What are cults? Have they any place in modern culture, or are they a thing of the past? Discover 5 common misconceptions that people have about cults.
What influence does the media have on your everyday life? What are the more trustworthy sources of news? Is "false news" a real thing, or just a byword used by people to dismiss legitimate stories? Discover the biggest mistakes people make when absorbing news and facts from popular sources.
Are you always on the wrong end of a deal? Are you sick of paying more for goods or services while your friends boast about great deals? Discover the art of negotiation and how to gain the upper hand when thrashing out a deal. You don't need to use underhand tactics to succeed, but you do need to be aware of them.
See examples of propaganda from history and how the concept is used today. Do political parties always play fair when they are canvassing for your vote, or are you being hoodwinked? Uncover some classic propaganda techniques that have been used for generations and learn how to form your own opinions.
Are you aware of neuro-linguistic programming or NLP? This theory has been developed to promote self-esteem, but some people use the methods to manipulate others; they are adept at emotional blackmail and can twist people around their fingers. Avoid this happening to you by recognizing when someone is messing with your head.
Are you aware of MK Ultra? This highly illegal and controversial operation was deployed by the CIA from the 1950s for over twenty years and involved the drugging and brainwashing of ordinary American citizens. The tactics used by the organization will shock you. The details may sound like the plot for a Hollywood blockbuster film but are actually straight from the history books.
When you hear the term "gaslighter", do you imagine a wartime method of lighting streetlamps? The term is used to describe an insidious form of bullying. Learn how these types of manipulators operate in the workplace and how to deal with them.
Can you spot a liar? You may think your BS detector is finely tuned, but are you willing to take a test? Try the fun test in chapter three to discover how adept you are at spotting a liar. Is your lie-Q high or low? Do you need handy tips to be more aware of deception?
What is the "Dark Triad", and how does it affect you? This book helps you understand the three dark personality traits and how they manifest. Is your boss a narcissist? Is your partner Machiavellian? Do you know a real-life psychopath? You will be surprised and appalled at the number of people you know who display at least some of the traits associated with the Dark Triad. Maybe you will recognize them in yourself. Don't worry, the most successful leaders in history have had a few dark personality traits. The trick is in knowing how to manage them.
This handy book will change your life. You will have the power to be stronger and resist bullying. Improve your strength of mind with some simple exercises and present the "new you" to the world.
Get this book and never be taken advantage of again
Название: The social psychology of organizational behavior ISBN: 1841690848 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781841690841 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 4898.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Each article in this collection has exerted a tremendous impact on the field of organizational behavior.
Автор: Kri?an Название: Communal Functions of Social Comparison ISBN: 0521119499 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521119498 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 9979.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This volume identifies research relevant to the communal functions of social comparisons. Previous work in the area has concerned ways that people differ from one another, focusing on competition, independence and self-esteem. This book, in contrast, presents an eclectic cross-section of research that illuminates the connective, cooperative and participatory functions of social comparisons.
Автор: Kriћan Zlatan Название: Communal Functions of Social Comparison ISBN: 1108701353 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781108701358 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 5069.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This volume identifies research relevant to the communal functions of social comparisons. Previous work in the area has concerned ways that people differ from one another, focusing on competition, independence and self-esteem. This book, in contrast, presents an eclectic cross-section of research that illuminates the connective, cooperative and participatory functions of social comparisons.
Автор: Vidor Renee Название: Measuring Up: How to WIN in a World of Comparison ISBN: 1640855912 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781640855915 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 4131.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Ever felt like you don`t measure up? Author Renee Vidor knows how you feel. Constant feelings of inadequacy compelled her to find a solution to the comparison conundrum. In "Measuring Up," you`ll learn the process to take control over Comparison.
Автор: Vidor Renee Название: Measuring Up: How to WIN in a World of Comparison ISBN: 1640855904 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781640855908 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 2068.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Ever felt like you don`t measure up? Author Renee Vidor knows how you feel. Constant feelings of inadequacy compelled her to find a solution to the comparison conundrum. In "Measuring Up," you`ll learn the process to take control over Comparison.
Описание: This book aims to provide a deeper understanding of the concept and negative outcomes of employee loyalty, considering employees in organizations and OB theory, and comparing employee experiences across both European and East Asian cultures.
Автор: Schneewind, Klaus A. Название: Personality and Family Development ISBN: 0805825126 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780805825121 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 5664.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Olson, James M. Название: Relative Deprivation and Social Comparison ISBN: 0898597048 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780898597042 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 22202.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Schneewind Название: Personality and Family Development ISBN: 1138882879 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138882874 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 3367.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This volume reports an unusual study spanning 16 years with survey data from more than 200 families (parents and children). It will be of interest to researchers and policy-makers concerned with families, personality, and social development.
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