A very timely book.--Anne-Marie Slaughter, CEO of New America How cognitive biases can guide good decision making in politics and international relations
A widespread assumption in political science and international relations is that cognitive biases--quirks of the brain we all share as human beings--are detrimental and responsible for policy failures, disasters, and wars. In Strategic Instincts, Dominic Johnson challenges this assumption, explaining that these nonrational behaviors can actually support favorable results in international politics and contribute to political and strategic success. By studying past examples, he considers the ways that cognitive biases act as "strategic instincts," lending a competitive edge in policy decisions, especially under conditions of unpredictability and imperfect information. Drawing from evolutionary theory and behavioral sciences, Johnson looks at three influential cognitive biases--overconfidence, the fundamental attribution error, and in-group/out-group bias. He then examines the advantageous as well as the detrimental effects of these biases through historical case studies of the American Revolution, the Munich Crisis, and the Pacific campaign in World War II. He acknowledges the dark side of biases--when confidence becomes hubris, when attribution errors become paranoia, and when group bias becomes prejudice. Ultimately, Johnson makes a case for a more nuanced understanding of the causes and consequences of cognitive biases and argues that in the complex world of international relations, strategic instincts can, in the right context, guide better performance. Strategic Instincts shows how an evolutionary perspective can offer the crucial next step in bringing psychological insights to bear on foundational questions in international politics.
Автор: OKeeffe Andrew Название: Hardwired Humans ISBN: 0646551744 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780646551746 Издательство: Gazelle Book Services Рейтинг: Цена: 7291.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Leadership is easier when you understand the nine instincts that still drive human behaviour, Based on the authors wide experience in large organisations combined with witty true stories of chimps from Taronga Zoo and Gombe, Tanzania, this book explains the psychology behind the human instincts of social behaviour and how leaders can use an understanding of these instincts to make more effective decisions.
Описание: SPECIAL INTRODUCTORY PRICE Over 30% of the regular price The paperback is here, and to celebrate, we are keeping it at over 30% off the normal price of $9.99. Get it this week, while it's still under $7 The REAL FOOD Reset - The Amazon Kindle Bestseller, now in paperback "All too often, our Standard American Diet leaves us overfed but undernourished; Roland and Galina Denzel have written a concise but powerful guide to improving your life with nature's most powerful medicine - Real Food." - Wendy Welch, MD You need to read this new book because: - you are tired of being overweight - you are fed up with cravings - you are done letting food rule your life - you need to get healthy NOW "Our energy levels are through the roof, no more crashing in the afternoon, I have lost 12 pounds, our sleep has improved, we are able to be more active and have noticed we don't have to eat as much during the day. We plan to continue this after the 30 day challenge " - Rosie and Sean, 30 years old We launched our '30 Days of Real Food' program on our website in January, and testimonials started coming in within a week - pain gone, energy returning, skin clearing, digestion improving. Within just a few months, couples who were unable to get pregnant, WERE pregnant People in our community online and in our small city in Southern California were onto something - by following a real food diet, one can undo months and years of poor dietary habits. In just 30 days, our friends were thinner, more energetic, healthier, and more fit The REAL FOOD Reset will: - feed your body the food it really needs - reawaken your instincts - free you from cravings "I've had acne my whole life. In the back of my mind I always knew it might be food, and I kind of suspected dairy. Since I cut it out, my skin is so much clearer. I also have energy the whole day and don't get sleepy at work at 4 p.m. This program has changed my life " - Carolyne, 27 years old Unlike a diet, a detox or a flush, The Real Food Reset develops healthy eating habits that become a platform for perfect health for the rest of your life. No weighing, measuring, or counting required You are about to read the book that will teach you everything you need to know about starting your own '30 Days, ' and continue to improve going forward using Real Food as your only tool. With The Real Food Reset you will: - lose fat - get fit - feel better - feel results in just 30 days or even less "I dropped 5lbs the first week on the program. I didn't think it would be that easy. I am still losing weight, I started exercising again and I can play with my grandkids. My daughter is getting married in a week and I can't believe how in shape I am for her wedding " - Johanna, 53 years old One of Amazon's Top 20 Paleo Diet books on Kindle
Автор: McBride M. D. Jan Название: Love Instincts: The Romance of Sex ISBN: 0970921810 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780970921819 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2067.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Black Paul Название: The Tels Trilogy ISBN: 0972600795 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780972600798 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2759.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Young M. D. Richard, Young Richard Название: American Healthscare ISBN: 0972600779 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780972600774 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2069.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Black Paul Название: Cool Brain ISBN: 0578171902 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780578171906 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2069.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
WELCOME TO SPOOKSVILLE What if you knew what a friend, or a lover, or a client was thinking? Would it empower you or drive you crazy? For Dillon Bradford, hearing people's thoughts has proved monumentally profitable. Dillon is a cool hunter and has leveraged his telepathic ability into Cool Brain, one of Dallas' largest and most successful brand design agencies. Dillon isn't the only one wielding this remarkable gift, however. Other telepaths are living large in Big D, and Dillon has brought them together for fun and profit.
But Dillon's tony life begins to unravel when an intriguing woman joins his special group. Debra Lao works for Ewing Pharmaceuticals, one of CoolBrain's largest accounts. At first, she seems the perfect addition, but after a few drinks, Dillon discovers Lao has a unique sexual twist on their telepathic gift. Inexorably drawn to this exotic Asian beauty, Dillon soon finds his world turned inside out. Blackouts. Seizures. Mysterious marks at the base of his skull. What is happening to Dillon Bradford? Is Debra Lao what she seems? Is his life what it seems?
Dallas' most eligible bachelor is about to be thrust into the dangerous and seedy world of international arms trade and black operations, and there's seemingly nothing he can do to stop it, because Dillon Bradford's gift isn't like his telepathic friends' and rival forces scattered around the globe will do whatever it takes to harness his extraordinary power.
From two-time Independent Publishers Book Award winner, Paul Black, comes a thriller that is sure to win with critics and audiences. Part spy novel, part love story, part paranormal thriller, Cool Brain has it all.
Автор: Stryker Rod Carlos Название: Native Instincts ISBN: 0983334447 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780983334446 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2586.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Bristol Sidney Название: Blind: Killer Instincts ISBN: 0990443418 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780990443414 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 2585.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: He recognizes the darkness in her. It's in him, too. Detective Jacob Payton knows the clock is ticking down. Someone is about to die, and his best suspect is also his only source of information. He's known Emma Ration's story for years-after all, a brutal serial killer left his mark on both their lives when they were still young. Meeting her is another experience altogether. She challenges his control and entices him in ways no other woman has. But is she the killer? As the bodies pile up and their passion ignite, Jacob runs the risk of losing his control. Falling for Emma was never in his plan, but now that she's part of his life he's not about to give her up. Not even to the FBI on the trail of the very same killer. Jacob must figure out if it's Emma in danger, or himself. If he can't uncover the identity of the copycat killer, it could be the end for both him and the woman who has fast become the center of his life.
Описание: Power Investor provides an insider`s view of the cut-throat and powerful world of finance through the eyes of technology investment banker and power broker Thomas Weisel.
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