Автор: Tetlock Philip E. Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 3485.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.
Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Автор: Edited By Toby P. Newstead, Ronald E. Riggio Название: Leadership and virtues : ISBN: 1032080906 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781032080901 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 19906.00 р. Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Good leadership is something every leader and organization should strive towards. This book serves as a pivotal resource in encouraging the understanding and practice of leadership and highlights how good leadership is anchored in the rich philosophy and science of virtue. Through a diverse range of perspectives, the book highlights the importance of leading with virtue, unpacks what it means to be a virtuous leader, and outlines practical strategies for developing and practicing good leadership.
Taking a virtues perspective, this cohesive collection of chapters by scholars from around the globe offers an inclusive tone and speaks to practicing and aspiring leaders worldwide. Readers are provided with a nuanced account of the nature of virtues and leadership and how the two interact on multiple levels and in multiple ways to inform the practice of good leadership. Focusing on the tradition of virtue gives this collection a robust scholarly foundation, while simultaneously providing scope for diverse views on how and why virtues inform good leadership.
The book offers a balance of scholarly and practice-oriented chapters, instilling readers with a deep understanding of virtues and leadership, and practical strategies to develop their practice of good and virtuous leadership. Each chapter offers a different moral and sociological insight, serving altogether to show readers the most effective ways to use virtues to promote shared well-being and collective success. Scholars, students of leadership and management, and leadership practitioners will benefit from the accessible and practical lessons this book has to offer.
This volume will also be of interest to team leaders and managers who are keen to develop their leadership skills in both practice and theory.
Описание: The Transformative Self explains how people create a self-identity in their life stories to cultivate personal growth and the good life. Combining scientific research in psychology with work in philosophy, literature, history, and more, this book shows how personal and cultural narratives shape the development of happiness, love, and wisdom.
Автор: Sher Barbara Название: Self-esteem games ISBN: 0471180270 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780471180272 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 1553.00 р. 2218.00-30% Наличие на складе: Есть (1 шт.) Описание: A delightful way to build children`s self-esteem and self-confidence-from age three to twelve. The key ingredient in children`s development, emotionally, socially, and intellectually, is a strong sense of their own self-worth. The 300 games and activities in this fun book will give them just that.
Автор: Rasmussen, Sandra Название: Developing competencies for recovery ISBN: 1032274646 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781032274645 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 4898.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Developing Competencies for Recovery aims to help people struggling with addiction realize recovery by developing core competencies that will equip, enable, and empower them to master addiction, live well, and do good. Competencies are clusters of related knowledge, skills, and attitudes (KSAs) that prepare a person to act effectively and reflect cognitive, affective, and psychomotor domains of learning. This book provides a cutting-edge guide to recovery by clearly depicting these core competencies in a manner that will prepare the reader with the ability to clearly understand and develop a course of action on how to manage recovery successfully. The first section of each chapter presents facts, concepts, principles, and theories about a particular competency, and it shares real stories about real people and their own recovery journeys. The following section suggests applications of the competency with questions, worksheets, exercises, and projects. In the final section, readers can evaluate their recovery work and competency development. Resources for recovery and references can be found at the end of the book. Behavioral health practitioners and instructors and students of addiction studies will find this book a best-practice template for recovery work.
Автор: H?m?l?inen, Nora Название: The Making of the Good Person ISBN: 1032390107 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781032390109 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 20671.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book provides a philosophical assessment of the idea of personhood advanced in popular self-help literature. It also traces, within academic philosophy and philosophical scholarship, a self-help culture where the self is brought forth as an object of improvement and a key to meaning, progress and profundity.
Автор: Frank Dixon, Dixon Название: How parents can raise resilient children ISBN: 1956018018 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781956018011 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 2240.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book provides a novel account of how heteronormative socio-legal orders affect the well-being, or quality of life, of same-sex attracted people.
Автор: Bespalov Anton, Michel Martin C., Steckler Thomas Название: Good Research Practice in Non-Clinical Pharmacology and Biomedicine ISBN: 3030336581 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030336585 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 6986.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This open access book, published under a CC BY 4.0 license in the Pubmed indexed book series Handbook of Experimental Pharmacology, provides up-to-date information on best practice to improve experimental design and quality of research in non-clinical pharmacology and biomedicine.
Автор: Good Mary Название: Divorcing and Healing from a Narcissist ISBN: 1914053524 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781914053528 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 4959.00 р. Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.
Описание:
*55% discount for Bookstores! Discounted Retail Price NOW at $35.95 instead of $45.95*
Learn to deal with a Narcissist and splitting up.
Автор: Moore Clayton Название: Good Cop, Black Cop: Guilty Until Proven Innocent (A Memoir) ISBN: 1949642577 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781949642575 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 3677.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Good Cop, Black Cop is a moving and timely memoir that reveals how racism impacts people on both sides of the "thin blue line."
Автор: Wesler Jayne M. Название: Hurts So Good: An Orgasm of Tears ISBN: 1735540528 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781735540528 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 1792.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Have you ever had a good cry? Maybe it is rare for you, or maybe it happens at the drop of a hat.
Have you ever wondered about the biology of tears?
Have you ever noticed the physical aspects of your emotional tears? Quivering abs? The prick of tears in your eyes? Chest tightening? Throat hurting? Nostrils flaring? Mouth crumpling?
Have you ever been scolded or criticized for crying?
Would it intrigue you to know that there are significant similarities between emotional tears and orgasm?
Join Jayne Wesler to delve into this most baffling of human behaviors: the shedding of emotional tears or, as we know it in the vernacular, a 'good cry.'
In this riveting expose, Ms. Wesler illuminates the parallels between orgasm and emotional tears, thereby demonstrating a biological legitimacy to the need for a good cry. Just as sex is the all-time, one-and-only treatment for epididymal hypertension, commonly known as "Blue Balls," a good cry is the only remedy for a frustrated and achy soul-a Blue Heart.
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