Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments 9781441926463

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Автор: Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young
Название: Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments
ISBN: 9781441926463
Издательство: Springer
Классификация:

Принятие управленческих решений

Исследование операций

Оптимизация

Теория игр

Прикладная математика

Математическое моделирование

ISBN-10: 1441926461
Обложка/Формат: Paperback
Страницы: 376
Вес: 0.58 кг.
Дата издания: 2008
Серия: Springer Optimization and Its Applications
Язык: English
Иллюстрации: 55 black & white illustrations, 32 black & white tables, biography
Размер: 234 x 156 x 20
Читательская аудитория: Professional & vocational
Ссылка на Издательство: Link
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Поставляется из: Германии
Описание: On February 27 and 28 of 2006, the University of Arizona held a workshop entitled, Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex En- ronments, sponsored by the Air Force O?ce of Scienti?c Research under a Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (MURI) grant. The purpose of the workshop was to assemble preeminent researchers studying problems at the interface of behavioral and cognitive science, decision analysis, and operations research. This book is a compilation of 14 chapters based on the presentations given during the workshop. These contributions are grouped into four general areas, which describe in some detail the challenges in conducting novel research in this ?eld. Part One is concerned with the need for integrating decision analysis and behavioral models. Robert T. Clemen discusses how the ?elds of behavioral - search and decision analysis have diverged over time, and makes a compelling case to establish new links between the disciplines. He recommends leveraging lessons learned from behavioral studies within prescriptive decision analysis studies and evaluating the practical impact of those prescriptive techniques in helping decision makers achieve their objectives. Jenna L. Marquard and Stephen M. Robinson address eleven common traps that face decision model analysts and users. An understanding of these traps leads to an understanding of modeling features that either help or hurt the decision-making process. The authors link theory and practice by examining a set of case studies across a diverse array of model scenarios, and provide a checklist of recommendations for analysts confronted by these eleven traps.

Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments, Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young