Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments, Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young
Автор: Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young Название: Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments ISBN: 1441926461 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781441926463 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 24456.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: On February 27 and 28 of 2006, the University of Arizona held a workshop entitled, "Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex En- ronments," sponsored by the Air Force O?ce of Scienti?c Research under a Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (MURI) grant. The purpose of the workshop was to assemble preeminent researchers studying problems at the interface of behavioral and cognitive science, decision analysis, and operations research. This book is a compilation of 14 chapters based on the presentations given during the workshop. These contributions are grouped into four general areas, which describe in some detail the challenges in conducting novel research in this ?eld. Part One is concerned with the need for integrating decision analysis and behavioral models. Robert T. Clemen discusses how the ?elds of behavioral - search and decision analysis have diverged over time, and makes a compelling case to establish new links between the disciplines. He recommends leveraging lessons learned from behavioral studies within prescriptive decision analysis studies and evaluating the practical impact of those prescriptive techniques in helping decision makers achieve their objectives. Jenna L. Marquard and Stephen M. Robinson address eleven common "traps" that face decision model analysts and users. An understanding of these traps leads to an understanding of modeling features that either help or hurt the decision-making process. The authors link theory and practice by examining a set of case studies across a diverse array of model scenarios, and provide a checklist of recommendations for analysts confronted by these eleven traps.
Автор: Noyes Название: Decision Making In Complex ISBN: 0754649504 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780754649502 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 24499.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Addresses the role of human, the technology and the processes in complex socio-technical and technological systems. This book aims to apply a multi-disciplinary perspective to the examination of the human factors in complex decision making. It contains contributions on key subjects such as military human factors, and team decision making issues.
Описание: In the complex world of today, important policy and business decisions are still made with a 17th Century reductionist mindset and approach. Yet, complex challenges such as climate change, poverty, public health, security, energy futures, and sustainability transcend any single science, discipline or agency.
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