Risk, Choice, and Uncertainty: Three Centuries of Economic Decision-Making, Szpiro George G.
Автор: Mowles Chris Название: Managing in Uncertainty ISBN: 1138843741 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138843745 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 9645.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book argues that paradox, ambiguity and uncertainty in organizational life are the norm rather than the exception for leaders and managers. Drawing on insights from the complexity sciences, process sociology and pragmatic philosophy, Chris Mowles directly engages with some principal contradictions of organizational life concerning innovation, culture change, conflict and leadership.
Автор: Glenda H. Eoyang, Royce J. Holladay Название: Adaptive Action: Leveraging Uncertainty in Your Organization ISBN: 0804781966 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780804781961 Издательство: Wiley EDC Рейтинг: Цена: 13900.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Rooted in the study of chaos and complexity, Adaptive Action introduces a simple, common sense process that will guide you and your organization into reflective action.
This elegant method prompts readers to engage with three deceptively simple questions: What? So what? Now what? The first leads to careful observation. The second invites you to thoughtfully consider options and implications. The third ignites effective action. Together, these questions and the tools that support them produce a dynamic and creative dance with uncertainty. The road-tested steps of adaptive action can be used to devise solutions and improve performance across multiple challenges, and they have proven to be scalable from individuals to work groups, from organizations to communities.
In addition to laying out the adaptive action framework and clear protocols to support it, Glenda H. Eoyang and Royce J. Holladay introduce best practices from exemplary professionals who have used adaptive action to meet personal, professional, and political challenges in leadership, consulting, Alzheimer's treatment, evaluation, education reform, political advocacy, and cultural engagement—readying readers to employ this new toolkit to meet their own goals with a sense of ingenuity and flexibility.
Описание: Ties Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM)/Multiple Objective Optimization (MO) and economics together. This volume describes how MCDM methods (goal programming) can be used in economics. It is intended for postgraduate students and researchers in economics with an OR/MS orientation or in OR/MS with an economic orientation.
Автор: Ed: Kristian Sund Название: Uncertainty and Strategic Decision Making ISBN: 1786351706 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781786351708 Издательство: Emerald Рейтинг: Цена: 19919.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: In this book, leading researchers on Managerial and Organizational Cognition consider the foundations of individual and social cognition and their effect on strategic decision-making.
Автор: J. Geweke Название: Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty ISBN: 0792319044 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792319047 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 32004.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: A collection of work representative of the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty. The authors present extensions and alternatives to expected utility theory explaining diverse behaviour, including activity in financial markets, crimes of passion and the Ellsberg paradox.
Автор: Surafel Luleseged Tilahun, Jean Medard T. Ngnotchouye Название: Optimization Techniques for Problem Solving in Uncertainty ISBN: 1522550917 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781522550914 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 28413.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: When it comes to optimization techniques, in some cases, the available information from real models may not be enough to construct either a probability distribution or a membership function for problem solving. In such cases, there are various theories that can be used to quantify the uncertain aspects.Optimization Techniques for Problem Solving in Uncertainty is a scholarly reference resource that looks at uncertain aspects involved in different disciplines and applications. Featuring coverage on a wide range of topics including uncertain preference, fuzzy multilevel programming, and metaheuristic applications, this book is geared towards engineers, managers, researchers, and post-graduate students seeking emerging research in the field of optimization.
Автор: Vincent A. W. J. Marchau; Warren E. Walker; Pieter Название: Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty ISBN: 3030052516 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030052515 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 6986.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them.
Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work.
The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.
Описание: This book introduces general techniques for thinking systematically and quantitatively about uncertainty in engineering decision problems. It shows how conditional expectations and conditional cumulative distributions can be estimated in a simulation model.
Автор: Eoyang Glenda, Holladay Royce Название: Adaptive Action: Leveraging Uncertainty in Your Organization ISBN: 0804787115 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780804787116 Издательство: Wiley EDC Рейтинг: Цена: 4803.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:
Rooted in the study of chaos and complexity, Adaptive Action introduces a simple, common sense process that will guide you and your organization into reflective action.
This elegant method prompts readers to engage with three deceptively simple questions: What? So what? Now what? The first leads to careful observation. The second invites you to thoughtfully consider options and implications. The third ignites effective action. Together, these questions and the tools that support them produce a dynamic and creative dance with uncertainty. The road-tested steps of adaptive action can be used to devise solutions and improve performance across multiple challenges, and they have proven to be scalable from individuals to work groups, from organizations to communities.
In addition to laying out the adaptive action framework and clear protocols to support it, Glenda H. Eoyang and Royce J. Holladay introduce best practices from exemplary professionals who have used adaptive action to meet personal, professional, and political challenges in leadership, consulting, Alzheimer's treatment, evaluation, education reform, political advocacy, and cultural engagement—readying readers to employ this new toolkit to meet their own goals with a sense of ingenuity and flexibility.
Автор: Fritz, Levy & Ort Название: Problem-Driven Political Economy Analysis ISBN: 1464801215 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781464801211 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 4019.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Problem-driven political economy analysis holds considerable promise for development practitioners seeking to identify policies and strategies that are most likely to deliver solutions for difficult development challenges. This volume takes stock of the World Bank's experiences applying this approach. The eight good practice cases presented in this volume illustrate recent Bank achievements. Problem-Driven Political Economy Analysis: The World Bank's Experience shows how political economy analysis can be applied to specific development challenges from different sectors, highlights the range of empirical evidence that can be used and discusses the types of recommendations and follow up actions that result. Each case opens by describing the specific challenge or opportunity that prompted the analysis: an emerging natural resource boom in Mongolia, a growing need for subsidy reform in Morocco, difficult constellations around electricity sector reform in the Dominican Republic, electricity and telecommunications reforms in Zambia, the development of inclusive commercial agriculture in Ghana, infrastructure programs at the subnational level in Sierra Leone, local infrastructure provision in Papua New Guinea, and the allocation of local roads and health services in the Philippines. The cases then review key findings, describing how political economy drivers impeded first best economically efficient or technically sound reforms and how the incentives at play offer opportunities forengagement. Each case then sets out the feasible policy recommendations derived from the analysis, including specific recommendations for how development interventions can be adapted to existing political economy constraints and--where possible--how to engage on expanding the space for reform. Finally, there is a reflection on the uptake and effects of the problem-driven analysis on World Bank operations and on policy dialogue.
Автор: Grover Название: The Manual of Strategic Economic Decision Making ISBN: 3319484133 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319484136 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 10480.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book is an extension of the author`s first book and serves as a guide and manual on how to specify and compute 2-, 3-, and 4-Event Bayesian Belief Networks (BBN).
Автор: Sulkowski, Lukasz Название: Epistemology of management ISBN: 3631640137 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783631640135 Издательство: Peter Lang Рейтинг: Цена: 9356.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The epistemological and methodological issues within management sciences constitute a difficult area for theoretical reflection. The main goal of this book is to deepen epistemological and methodological reflection concerned with the foundations of organization and management.
ООО "Логосфера " Тел:+7(495) 980-12-10 www.logobook.ru
