Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis, Hanea Anca M., Nane Gabriela F., Bedford Tim
Автор: Hanea Anca M., Nane Gabriela F., Bedford Tim Название: Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis ISBN: 3030464733 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030464738 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 20962.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: and on specific experiences with SEJ protocols with the intention of presenting the challenges and insights collected during these journeys. Finally, the fourth (and largest) part begins with some reflections from Willy Aspinall on his many experiences in applying the Classical Model in several application domains;
Описание: The point of departure in the present book is that the decision makers, involved in the evaluation of alternatives under conflicting criteria, express their preferential judgement by estimating ratios of subjective values or differences of the corresponding logarithms, the so-called grades.
Автор: Goodwin Paul Название: Decision Analysis for Management Judgement ISBN: 1118740734 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781118740736 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 8070.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them.
Описание: Provides an analysis framework that helps structure the decision making process by identifying what information is needed for the decision, defining how that information should be combined and, finally, providing quantifiable evidence to clearly communicate and justify the final decision.
Описание: Multiobjective and Multicriteria Problems and Decision Models.- Multiobjective and Multicriteria Decision Processes and Methods.- Basic Concepts on Risk Analysis, Reliability and Maintenance.- Multidimensional Risk Analysis.- Preventive Maintenance Decisions.- Decision Making in Condition-Based Maintenance.- Decision on Maintenance Outsourcing.- Spare Parts Planning Decisions.- Decision on Redundancy Allocation.- Design Selection Decisions.- Decisions on Priority Assignment for Maintenance Planning.- Other Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Problems.
Описание: This book offers new transparent views and step-by-step methods for performance evaluation of a set of units using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The book has twelve practical chapters. Elementary concepts and definitions are gradually built in Chapters 1-6 based upon four examples of one input and one output factors, two input factors, two output factors, and four input and three output factors. Simultaneously, the mathematical foundations using linear programming are also introduced without any prerequisites. A reader with basic knowledge of mathematics and computers is able to understand the contents of the book. In addition, to prevent pre-judgment about the available concepts and definitions in the DEA literature, some new phrases are introduced and, after elucidating each phrase in detail in Chapters 1-6, they are reintroduced for industry-wide accuracy in Chapter 7. After that, some of the more advanced DEA topics are illustrated in Chapters 8-12, such as: production-planning problems, output-input ratio analysis, efficiency over different time periods, Malmquist efficiency indexes, and a delta neighborhood model.
A clear overview of many of the elementary and advanced concepts of DEA is provided, including Technical Efficiency, Relative Efficiency, Cost/Revenue/Profit Efficiency, Price/Overall Efficiency, the DEA axioms, the mathematical background to measure technical efficiency and overall efficiency, the multiplier/envelopment form of basic DEA models in input/output-orientation, the multiplier/envelopment of Additive DEA model, the multiplier/envelopment of slacks-based models, and others. The book also covers a variety of DEA techniques, input-output ratio analysis, the natural relationships between DEA frontier and the ratio of output to input factors, production-planning problems, planning ideas with a centralized decision-making unit, context-dependent DEA, Malmquist efficiency index, efficiency over different time periods, and others. End-of-chapter exercises are provided for each chapter.
Автор: Surafel Luleseged Tilahun, Jean Medard T. Ngnotchouye Название: Optimization Techniques for Problem Solving in Uncertainty ISBN: 1522550917 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781522550914 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 28413.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: When it comes to optimization techniques, in some cases, the available information from real models may not be enough to construct either a probability distribution or a membership function for problem solving. In such cases, there are various theories that can be used to quantify the uncertain aspects.Optimization Techniques for Problem Solving in Uncertainty is a scholarly reference resource that looks at uncertain aspects involved in different disciplines and applications. Featuring coverage on a wide range of topics including uncertain preference, fuzzy multilevel programming, and metaheuristic applications, this book is geared towards engineers, managers, researchers, and post-graduate students seeking emerging research in the field of optimization.
Автор: Madjid Tavana Название: Decision Making Theories and Practices from Analysis to Strategy ISBN: 1466615893 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781466615892 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 27027.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Decision Making Theories and Practices from Analysis to Strategy is a definitive focus on analytical strategic decision-making. This work is comprised of sophisticated tools and methodologies developed by researchers and vendors to improve decision making for business strategy. Extracting from a wide range of disciplines, including accounting, finance, information systems, international management, marketing, organizational management, operations research, production and operations management, and strategic management, this volume provides a conceptual and a utilitarian guide to decision making, perfect for both researchers and practicing professionals alike.
Автор: Albright S. Christian, Winston Wayne L. Название: Business Analytics: Data Analysis & Decision Making ISBN: 0357109953 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780357109953 Издательство: Cengage Learning Рейтинг: Цена: 12670.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Master data analysis, modeling and the effective use of spreadsheets with the popular BUSINESS ANALYTICS: DATA ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING, 7E. The quantitative methods approach in this edition helps you maximize your success with a proven teach-by-example presentation, inviting writing style and complete integration of the latest version of Excel. The approach is also compatible with earlier versions of Excel for your convenience.
This edition is more data-oriented than ever before with a new chapter on the two main Power BI tools in Excel -- Power Query and Power Pivot -- and a new section of data visualization with Tableau Public. Current problems and cases demonstrate the importance of the concepts you are learning. In addition, a useful Companion Website provides data and solutions files, SolverTable for optimization sensitivity analysis and Palisade DecisionTools Suite.
Описание: Overview of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Its Applications on Energy Systems.- Development of Decision Support Tools: Methodological Framework of System Dynamics Energy Models.- Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Methods for Sustainability Assessment of Renewable Energy Systems and Its Potential Application to Sustainable STEM Education.- Integration of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Sustainability Assessment for Better Energy Systems: Methods and Case Studies.- Multi-Criteria Assessment of Sustainability for Energy Systems Under Uncertainty: Grey Based Approach.- Coupling LCSA and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for Energy System Prioritization.- Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Methods for Sustainability Assessment of Energy Systems under Uncertainties.- Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Methods for Sustainability Assessment of Energy Systems.- Application of Fuzzy MCDM Methods in Sustainable and Effective Energy Management.- Rough Set-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Methods in Sustainability Assessment of Photovoltaic Projects.- Multi-Criteria Oriented Optimization of Building Energy Performances: the Annex 72 IEA-EBC Experience.
Описание: The point of departure in the present book is that the decision makers, involved in the evaluation of alternatives under conflicting criteria, express their preferential judgement by estimating ratios of subjective values or differences of the corresponding logarithms, the so-called grades.
Автор: Louis Anthony Cox Jr.; Douglas A. Popken; Richard Название: Causal Analytics for Applied Risk Analysis ISBN: 3030086534 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030086534 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 41925.00 р. Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using them to optimize decisions with uncertain outcomes. It discusses how to describe and summarize situations; detect changes; evaluate effects of policies or interventions; learn what works best under different conditions; predict values of as-yet unobserved quantities from available data; and identify the most likely explanations for observed outcomes, including surprises and anomalies. The book resents practical techniques for causal modeling and analytics that practitioners can apply to improve understanding of how choices affect probabilities of consequences and, based on this understanding, to recommend choices that are more likely to accomplish their intended objectives.
The book begins with a survey of modern analytics methods, focusing mainly on techniques useful for decision, risk, and policy analysis. Chapter 2 introduces free in-browser software, including the Causal Analytics Toolkit (CAT) software, to enable readers to perform the analyses described and to apply modern analytics methods easily to their own data sets. Chapters 3 through 11 show how to apply causal analytics and risk analytics to practical risk analysis challenges, mainly related to public and occupational health risks from pathogens in food or from pollutants in air. Chapters 12 through 15 turn to broader questions of how to improve risk management decision-making by individuals, groups, organizations, institutions, and multi-generation societies with different cultures and norms for cooperation. These chapters examine organizational learning, community resilience, societal risk management, and intergenerational collaboration and justice in managing risks.
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