Noise, Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R.

Автор: Kahneman, Daniel
Название: Noise
ISBN: 0008308993 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008308995
Издательство: HarperCollins UK
Цена: 3300.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка.
Описание: Everyone`s a suspect when murder is on the menu! With this Classic Detective Murder Mystery you have everything you need to serve up the perfect murder mystery dinner party. First the invites, you choose which of your friends play which devious suspect and invite them to come along as that character. Then the shopping list, menu suggestions and recipes. Plus of course...a really tasty murder to solve. In Death by Chocolate, it`s Easter Sunday 15 April 1900 and Paris is the centre of world attention as millions of visitors arrive for the opening weekend of the International Exposition. Amongst them is an elite but diverse group of individuals staying at the Hotel Paradiso. As they gather for dinner, however, the peace of the hotel is rocked by an explosion. Billy Bonka, the foremost chocolate manufacturer in America, is found dead in his room, having apparently been killed by an exploding Easter Egg. Suspicion falls on the people around this table. Your task is to discover who that killer is. Fortunately the famous amateur detective Hercule McClue is on hand to assist your investigations. This game includes a DVD with special cameo appearance by Michael Winner. This game is guarantee to be drop dead fun, and that by the end of the evening one (or more) of the suspects, your friends will be caught out as the murderer! This game is for 6 - 8 players and suitable for ages teen and up.Contents: Party planner with game rules, recipes, music suggestions and decorating tips; Character booklets including each guests role description, background information and a few tasty secrets!;Place cards for each character; Party invitations and envelopes for each character;6 x Secret clues; DVD with an introduction, scene setter, summary of events and solution to the crimeWarnings: Not suitable for children under 36 months, small parts, choking hazard.

Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R.
Название: Noise Pb
ISBN: 0008309000 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008309008
Издательство: HarperCollins UK
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Цена: 2512.00 р. 3140.00 -20%
Наличие на складе: Есть (1 шт.)
Описание: In 1721 a 20-year-old soprano employed at the princely court in Kthen married the courts Kapellmeister, set to become the greatest composer of the age. As his second wife she married into a young family with four children, and a busy household filled with music. The music book that Johann Sebastian Bach presented to his new wife Anna Magdalena in 1722, and replaced more lavishly in 1725, treats us to a tantalizing glimpse inside this unique family, allowing us to sit beside Bach as a composer, teacher, husband and father. Over the years, these notebooks became a place for the family to share instructional exercises, favourite pieces

Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R.
Название: Noise
ISBN: 0008534446 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008534448
Издательство: HarperCollins UK
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Цена: от 974.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть

Описание: The Sunday Times bestseller`A monumental, gripping book ... Outstanding` Sunday TimesWherever there is human judgement, there is noise.

Автор: Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R.
Название: Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
ISBN: 031632227X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316322270
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
Цена: 4488.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.

Описание: From the bestselling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias.​

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients--or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants--or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment--and what we can do about it.

Автор: Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R.
Название: Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
ISBN: 0316451398 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316451390
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
Цена: 1984.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R.
Название: Noise
ISBN: 0316457752 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316457750
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
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Цена: 1886.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: The theme and scope of the Chronology focus on the life (in bare outline) and publications (in temporal order) of John Ruskin (1819-1900). As art-critic, social commentator, architectural scholar, geologist, botanist, water-colourist, lecturer, letter-writer and prose stylist, Ruskin stands forth as perhaps the pre-eminent Victorian polymath.

Автор: Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R.
Название: Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment
ISBN: 0316451401 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316451406
Издательство: Hachette Book Group
Рейтинг:
Цена: 3344.00 р.
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Описание: From the Nobel Prize-winning author ofThinking, Fast and Slowandthe coauthor ofNudge,a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better onesa tour de force' (New York Times).

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patientsor that two judges in the same courthouse givemarkedlydifferent sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firmmake different decisions aboutindistinguishable job applicantsor that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens toanswerthephone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the samecustomer service agentmakes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday.

These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

InNoise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunsteinshowthedetrimental effects of noisein many fields, including medicine, law,economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet,most of the time, individuals and organizations alikeare unaware of it.

They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions.

Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds ofresearch-basedinsights that madeThinking, Fast and SlowandNudgegroundbreakingNew York Timesbestsellers,Noiseexplains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgmentand what we can do about it.